{"id":1141,"date":"2009-02-20T21:30:09","date_gmt":"2009-02-20T21:30:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2009\/02\/20\/repli-gnral\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T11:23:37","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T11:23:37","slug":"repli-gnral","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2009\/02\/20\/repli-gnral\/","title":{"rendered":"Repli g\u00e9n\u00e9ral."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Images_4\"<\/a> Quand un empire meurt, il commence par abandonner ses positions les plus avanc\u00e9es, les plus expos\u00e9es, celles qui co\u00fbtent le plus cher, rapportent le moins et sont les moins utiles.
Plusieurs personnages sont intervenus dans ce processus aujourd’hui.
D’abord l’Amiral Fallon, puis Mullen<\/a>, tendant d’abord \u00e0 contenir les vell\u00e9it\u00e9s guerri\u00e8res du pouvoir civil, du temps de l’administration bush, notamment vis-\u00e0-vis de l’Iran, en suite Patrick Buchanan, en esquissant le futur.
Un empire, c’est d’abord un ensemble, aujourd’hui 800 bases, un r\u00e9seau, des voies de communication.
Or, tenir 800 bases, c’est \u00e9norme.
C’est un co\u00fbt d’approvisonnement et une gab\u00e9gie \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique.<\/p>\n

D’abord, faire contre fortune, bon coeur. Les bases d’asie centrale, et l’asie centrale est perdue par l’empire.
Le deuxi\u00e8me abandon, c’est le BMDE ou bouclier anti-missile.
Trop co\u00fbteux aussi, inutile, trop expos\u00e9.
La crise interne a fait son oeuvre : certaines choses sont trop ch\u00e8res.
Mais, pour l’avenir, c’est P. Buchanan qui est le plus int\u00e9ressant.
R\u00e9publicain, autant qu’on peut l’\u00eatre aux USA, il \u00e9tait farouchement oppos\u00e9 \u00e0 la politique ext\u00e9rieur Bushiste.
Ce qu’il dit, c’est simple : abandonner Abkazie, Oss\u00e9tie, G\u00e9orgie, Ukraine, BMDE, Asie Centrale, Irak, l’Am\u00e9rique latine d\u00e9j\u00e0 perdue, pour se concentrer sur ce qui reste.
Nous sommes \u00e0 la p\u00e9riode o\u00f9 Rome abandonna M\u00e9sopotamie, Champs d\u00e9cumates et Dacie, pour souffler un peu.
En m\u00eame temps, ce point de vue<\/a> est loin d’\u00eatre idiot. Il conserve les zones de forces utiles de l’empire ; \u00e0 savoir, les ressources \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques d\u00e9j\u00e0 sous contr\u00f4le, l’Europe utile et l’Asie utile.
Il faut \u00eatre clair : les pays abandonn\u00e9s avaient peu d’importance, sans aucunes ressources (Ukraine, G\u00e9orgie), ou avec des ressources inexploitables en l’\u00e9tat (Asie centrale), ou qui, malgr\u00e9 un discours anti-am\u00e9ricain, commerce beaucoup avec les USA (V\u00e9n\u00e9zuela).<\/p>\n

Enfin, on peut donc noter, une certaine ACCEPTATION de la phase de repli. La r\u00e9duction des arsenaux nucl\u00e9aires, la prise en compte possiblle de troubles civils internes, dans un contexte de crise \u00e9conomique marqu\u00e9 compl\u00e8te le tableau.
Reste que la phase de d\u00e9clin entre l’apog\u00e9e romaine (116) et la chute finale (476), dura 360 ann\u00e9es. Tout va beaucoup plus vite, notamment depuis le 15 septembre 2008. Les jours sont des ann\u00e9es et les ann\u00e9es, des si\u00e8cles.
Il donne un r\u00e9pit, d\u00e9tend la situation avec les ennemis\/concurrents. Pour un temps.<\/p>\n

Vendredi 20 F\u00e9vrier 2009<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Quand un empire meurt, il commence par abandonner ses positions les plus avanc\u00e9es, les plus expos\u00e9es, celles qui co\u00fbtent le plus cher, rapportent le moins et sont les moins utiles.Plusieurs personnages sont intervenus dans ce processus aujourd’hui.D’abord l’Amiral Fallon, puis Mullen, tendant d’abord \u00e0 contenir les vell\u00e9it\u00e9s guerri\u00e8res du pouvoir civil, du temps de l’administration […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":11917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[377],"class_list":["post-1141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-ce-point-de-vue-mullen"],"yoast_head":"\nRepli g\u00e9n\u00e9ral. - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2009\/02\/20\/repli-gnral\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Repli g\u00e9n\u00e9ral. - 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