{"id":1209,"date":"2009-02-08T22:45:16","date_gmt":"2009-02-08T22:45:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2009\/02\/08\/le-point-de-bas\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T11:21:18","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T11:21:18","slug":"le-point-de-bas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2009\/02\/08\/le-point-de-bas\/","title":{"rendered":"Le point de basculement."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Bush\"<\/a> Pour Harald Welzer, le pire est \u00e0 venir<\/a>.
Le pire, c’est quoi ? "Les catastrophes sociales … ne surviennent pas sans crier gare mais, pour ce qui est de leur perception, repr\u00e9sentent un processus quasi insensible. "
Crise qui toucherait d’abord qui ?
"On tient pour impossible un effondrement complet du syst\u00e8me financier et \u00e9conomique et on se repr\u00e9sente encore moins que la p\u00e9nurie d’\u00e9nergies fossiles atteigne un niveau tel, d’ici quelques ann\u00e9es, que m\u00eame dans les pays les plus riches, les plus bas revenus ne pourront plus se chauffer. "<\/p>\n

Le constat est autre, d’ailleurs. 
19 millions de logements vides aux USA, on est dans une crise incontr\u00f4lable.
Pour une bonne raison. Cela repr\u00e9sente de quoi loger au moins 50 millions de personnes.
Il est vraisemblable que ces logements finissent purement et simplement, d\u00e9truits. Ce m\u00e9canisme, romain dans l’\u00e2me, est tellement simple : les marginaux r\u00e9cup\u00e8rent ce qui repr\u00e9sente encore un peu de valeur.
Certains \u00e9cartent d’un revers de main qu’on a d\u00e9j\u00e0, peut \u00eatre, atteint le "point de basculement syst\u00e9mique, \u00e0 partir duquel des tendances ne peuvent plus \u00eatre corrig\u00e9es."<\/p>\n

Ces tendances sont des tendances \u00e0 la fois humaines et environnementales. Les tendances humaines ? C’est la g\u00e9n\u00e9ration des baby-boomers<\/a>. N\u00e9e dans un environnement \u00e9conomique favorable, dans un progr\u00e8s constant, elles n’envisagent m\u00eame pas un changement possible. Un de ses repr\u00e9sentant a nomm\u00e9 cela, "la fin de l’histoire". Finalement, la seule chose qui serait diff\u00e9rente entre hier, aujourd’hui et demain, ce serait la date du calendrier.
On se pose la question, alors, de leur fr\u00e9n\u00e9sie de "r\u00e9formes".
La tendance lourde des historiens, c’est qu’aucune g\u00e9n\u00e9ration n’a v\u00e9cue comme la pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente. Depuis le dernier conflit mondial, on a eu deux phases. La premi\u00e8re \u00e9tait celle de l’enthousiasme et du mouvement. Elle a dur\u00e9 30 ans. La seconde, c’est celle de l’essoufflement et du "mod\u00e8le" \u00e9conomique arrogant, qui se r\u00e9v\u00e8le, \u00e0 l’issue de ces trente ann\u00e9es, d\u00e9funt, moribond, us\u00e9, puant.
Son "homme" a \u00e9t\u00e9 Deubeuliou. <\/p>\n

Dimanche 8 F\u00e9vrier 2008<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pour Harald Welzer, le pire est \u00e0 venir. Le pire, c’est quoi ? "Les catastrophes sociales … ne surviennent pas sans crier gare mais, pour ce qui est de leur perception, repr\u00e9sentent un processus quasi insensible. "Crise qui toucherait d’abord qui ?"On tient pour impossible un effondrement complet du syst\u00e8me financier et \u00e9conomique et on […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":11768,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[409],"class_list":["post-1209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-le-pire-est-a-venir-la-generation-des-baby-boomers"],"yoast_head":"\nLe point de basculement. - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2009\/02\/08\/le-point-de-bas\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Le point de basculement. - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Pour Harald Welzer, le pire est \u00e0 venir. 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