{"id":145,"date":"2011-06-06T17:07:38","date_gmt":"2011-06-06T17:07:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2011\/06\/06\/laie-elabore-un-scenario-qui-annonce-un-nouvel-age-dore-du-gaz-naturel\/"},"modified":"2012-07-16T13:21:29","modified_gmt":"2012-07-16T13:21:29","slug":"laie-elabore-un-scenario-qui-annonce-un-nouvel-age-dore-du-gaz-naturel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2011\/06\/06\/laie-elabore-un-scenario-qui-annonce-un-nouvel-age-dore-du-gaz-naturel\/","title":{"rendered":"L’IEA \u00e9labore un sc\u00e9nario qui annonce un nouvel \u00ab\u00a0\u00e2ge d’or du gaz naturel\u00a0\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"

L’Agence Internationale de l\u2019\u00c9nergie passe beaucoup de temps \u00e0 \u00e9laborer des sc\u00e9narios \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques pour les pays membres de l’OCDE qui la financent. Ses travaux se retrouvant rapidement d\u00e9pass\u00e9s ou d\u00e9mentis, tactiquement, il ne reste plus \u00e0 cette institution qu’\u00e0 publier tr\u00e8s fr\u00e9quemment de nouvelles pr\u00e9visions qui annulent les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes. C’est ainsi qu’elle vient de publier un nouveau sc\u00e9nario \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique mondial annon\u00e7ant un nouvel \u00ab\u00a0Age d’Or du Gaz Naturel\u00a0\u00bb qui annule et remplace les pr\u00e9visions de 2010 dont nous avions rendu-compte ici<\/a>, tout en soulignant un possible impact des croissances de gaz naturel sur le caract\u00e8re pr\u00e9caire de ces \u00ab\u00a0pr\u00e9visions\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n

Dans ce nouveau sc\u00e9nario, l’Agence minore l’utilisation du charbon et majore celle du gaz naturel dont les r\u00e9serves r\u00e9cup\u00e9rables mondiales s’av\u00e8rent \u00eatre consid\u00e9rables et largement r\u00e9parties …ce qui \u00e9tait d\u00e9j\u00e0 connu six mois auparavant (TAB.).<\/p>\n

\"IEA-Gas<\/a>
\nLe fanatique de pr\u00e9visions pourra lire ce nouveau papier accessible \u00e0 tous (c’est nouveau et nous en remercions l’Agence) mais il doit savoir que ces donn\u00e9es ont un caract\u00e8re \u00e9minemment provisoire… en attendant la prochaine mouture.<\/p>\n

Pour les lecteurs \u00e9colo-d\u00e9pendants il faut noter le formidable saut des \u00e9nergies renouvelables dont la part dans le mix \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique mondial devrait passer de 1% en 2008 \u00e0 4% en 2035. Mais pour les consoler, je pense que l’IEA sous-estime la croissance de la biomasse et des biocarburants en n’int\u00e9grant pas un possible sinon probable d\u00e9veloppement massif des agricultures africaines et sud-am\u00e9ricaines durant le quart de si\u00e8cle \u00e0 venir. La consommation de p\u00e9trole dans le monde en 2035 ne sera pas 12% au-dessus de celle qu’elle \u00e9tait en 2008, elle sera plut\u00f4t 12% en-dessous. Mais ce sera pour la prochaine fois.<\/p>\n

LIRE l’entr\u00e9e officielle dans l’\u00e2ge d’or du gaz<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Le 6 Juin 2011<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L’Agence Internationale de l\u2019\u00c9nergie passe beaucoup de temps \u00e0 \u00e9laborer des sc\u00e9narios \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques pour les pays membres de l’OCDE qui la financent. Ses travaux se retrouvant rapidement d\u00e9pass\u00e9s ou d\u00e9mentis, tactiquement, il ne reste plus \u00e0 cette institution qu’\u00e0 publier tr\u00e8s fr\u00e9quemment de nouvelles pr\u00e9visions qui annulent les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes. C’est ainsi qu’elle vient de publier […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":22816,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-145","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energie-fossile"],"yoast_head":"\nL'IEA \u00e9labore un sc\u00e9nario qui annonce un nouvel "\u00e2ge d'or du gaz naturel" - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2011\/06\/06\/laie-elabore-un-scenario-qui-annonce-un-nouvel-age-dore-du-gaz-naturel\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"L'IEA \u00e9labore un sc\u00e9nario qui annonce un nouvel "\u00e2ge d'or du gaz naturel" - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"L’Agence Internationale de l\u2019\u00c9nergie passe beaucoup de temps \u00e0 \u00e9laborer des sc\u00e9narios \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques pour les pays membres de l’OCDE qui la financent. Ses travaux se retrouvant rapidement d\u00e9pass\u00e9s ou d\u00e9mentis, tactiquement, il ne reste plus \u00e0 cette institution qu’\u00e0 publier tr\u00e8s fr\u00e9quemment de nouvelles pr\u00e9visions qui annulent les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes. 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