{"id":1455,"date":"2008-12-19T14:54:21","date_gmt":"2008-12-19T14:54:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/12\/19\/aie-le-pic-oil\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T11:13:09","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T11:13:09","slug":"aie-le-pic-oil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/12\/19\/aie-le-pic-oil\/","title":{"rendered":"AIE : Le Pic-Oil pour 2020."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Images\"<\/a> Effectivement, les organismes devant pr\u00e9voir l’avenir<\/a>, donne plus d’indication sur leur mode de pens\u00e9e, de fonctionnement, leur bureaucratie que sur l’avenir lui-m\u00eame.
L’AIE (agence internationale de l’Energie), bascule dans le camp de ceux qui croient le PO proche<\/a>. Il sera l\u00e0 en 2020.
Sachant qu’il faut 20 ans pour l’adaptation, on est d\u00e9j\u00e0 dans les choux.
Enfin c’est ce que dit cette bureaucratie irresponsable, tentaculaire et irr\u00e9cup\u00e9rable, \u00e0 l’image de l’\u00e9poque actuelle et de ce que sont les grandes bureaucraties : constructeurs automobiles, entreprises c\u00f4t\u00e9es, Pentagone…
Les pr\u00e9visions n’y existaient m\u00eame pas. c’\u00e9tait simplement des compromis bureaucratiques. <\/p>\n

La v\u00e9rit\u00e9 est beaucoup plus crue et beaucoup plus abrupte, nous la vivons actuellement.
On r\u00e9duit la voilure, tout simplement.
La voiture d’aujourd’hui en France consomme la moiti\u00e9 de ce que consommait le parc en 1974. La r\u00e9duction du parc \u00e9conomisera ce qu’il faut pour s’ajuster.
La r\u00e9duction aussi, du parc immobilier (les surfaces habit\u00e9es ont beaucoup augment\u00e9es) se r\u00e9duiront aussi.
La pauvret\u00e9 est une raison importante et suffisante pour cela.
On voit aussi que le sch\u00e9mas de distribution souffrent gravement.
Les supermarch\u00e9s ach\u00e8tent au meilleur co\u00fbt, sans voir si ce co\u00fbt est \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiquement d\u00e9pensier.
Je rappellerais simplement l’\u00e9poque o\u00f9 les villes \u00e9taient ceintur\u00e9es de ceintures maraich\u00e8res.
Les petits commerces, souvent, n’avaient aucun souci d’approvisionnement, c’\u00e9tait des voisins qui le ravitaillait en l\u00e9gumes frais, et d’une mani\u00e8re g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, de tout ce qui \u00e9tait disponible \u00e0 proximit\u00e9.<\/p>\n

D’ailleurs, la baisse de production de l’OPEP s’est r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9e un coup foireux<\/a>. En m\u00eame temps, les mythes vont s’effondrer : la hausse "structurelle" de la consommation \u00e9lectrique.
En m\u00eame temps, les projections prennent les conditions actuelles et les adaptent dans X ann\u00e9es. On voit que dans le cas des anglo-saxons, la crise risque d’\u00eatre s\u00e9v\u00e8re, tr\u00e8s s\u00e9v\u00e8re. Voire d’\u00eatre une crise d’effondrement.<\/p>\n

vendredi 19 d\u00e9cembre 2008<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Effectivement, les organismes devant pr\u00e9voir l’avenir, donne plus d’indication sur leur mode de pens\u00e9e, de fonctionnement, leur bureaucratie que sur l’avenir lui-m\u00eame. L’AIE (agence internationale de l’Energie), bascule dans le camp de ceux qui croient le PO proche. Il sera l\u00e0 en 2020. Sachant qu’il faut 20 ans pour l’adaptation, on est d\u00e9j\u00e0 dans les […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":11226,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[518],"class_list":["post-1455","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","tag-un-coup-foireux-les-organismes-devant-prevoir-lavenir-po-proche"],"yoast_head":"\nAIE : Le Pic-Oil pour 2020. - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/12\/19\/aie-le-pic-oil\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"AIE : Le Pic-Oil pour 2020. - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Effectivement, les organismes devant pr\u00e9voir l’avenir, donne plus d’indication sur leur mode de pens\u00e9e, de fonctionnement, leur bureaucratie que sur l’avenir lui-m\u00eame. 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