{"id":1564,"date":"2008-11-28T11:03:45","date_gmt":"2008-11-28T11:03:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/28\/et-si-les-cours\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T11:09:22","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T11:09:22","slug":"et-si-les-cours","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/28\/et-si-les-cours\/","title":{"rendered":"Et si les cours du p\u00e9trole d\u00e9pendaient d’un possible accord entre l’OPEP et la Russie?"},"content":{"rendered":"

                       L<\/span><\/strong>es volumes de p\u00e9trole consomm\u00e9s repr\u00e9sentent la premi\u00e8re ressource d’\u00e9nergie primaire au monde. Les cours du p\u00e9trole d\u00e9terminent ceux du gaz et impactent ceux du charbon. De plus, ils orientent les prix de nombreuses sources d’\u00e9nergies secondaires comme les carburants ou l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9. C’est en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 plus des trois quarts des ressources mondiales d’\u00e9nergies qui d\u00e9pendent directement ou indirectement des cours du p\u00e9trole. L’importance strat\u00e9gique de ces cours est en compl\u00e8te contradiction avec leur mode d\u00a0\u00bb\u00e9tablissement. Le benchmark mondial, le WTI am\u00e9ricain, est cot\u00e9 par un peu plus de 300 traders sur le NYMEX \u00e0 New York qui vont int\u00e9grer tout un tas de donn\u00e9es, importantes ou non, pour \u00e9tablir les cours. Ceux-ci varient dans des proportions inacceptables d’une semaine \u00e0 l’autre. Le probl\u00e8me de la r\u00e9gulation des cours est donc pos\u00e9. Aujourd’hui c’est dans les faits l’OPEP, produisant hors Irak, 40% des 86 millions de barils par jour consomm\u00e9s dans le monde, qui est en charge la r\u00e9gulation des cours du brut. Si l’on ajoute \u00e0 ces volumes les 10 millions de baril\/jour de la Russie, on constate qu’une alliance OPEP-Russie p\u00e8serait pr\u00e8s de 52% des volumes mondiaux consomm\u00e9s<\/u>. Medvedev et Poutine, soyez en s\u00fbrs, ont du faire le m\u00eame calcul. Je rajouterai donc aux divers param\u00e8tres qui d\u00e9terminent les cours du p\u00e9trole (FIG.) un petit drapeau rouge avec \u00e9crit dessus "Russia policy".\"Facteurscls\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

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                     La visite de Medvedev \u00e0 Chavez au Venezuela, a \u00e9t\u00e9 l’occasion de parler p\u00e9trole. Igor Sechin, vice Premier Ministre Russe, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que la Russie pr\u00e9parait un projet d’accord avec l’OPEP qui serait pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 au Sommet d’Oran en D\u00e9cembre prochain et qui proposerait de mettre en place "des \u00e9tudes et des \u00e9changes d’informations sur l’\u00e9tat du march\u00e9". Il semblerait que le "serpent" de fluctuation des cours propos\u00e9 par Chavez, soit 80$ \u00e0 100$ et qui ne doit pas \u00eatre bien loin de celui souhait\u00e9 par l’Arabie Saoudite, aurait \u00e9t\u00e9 qualifi\u00e9 comme un "not a bad corridor" par  Medvedev.<\/p>\n

                    Compte tenu de l’\u00e9tat du march\u00e9, un accord de limitation des productions, au moins de circonstance, entre la Russie et l’OPEP me semble hautement probable. <\/p>\n

Le 28 Novembre 2008.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                       Les volumes de p\u00e9trole consomm\u00e9s repr\u00e9sentent la premi\u00e8re ressource d’\u00e9nergie primaire au monde. Les cours du p\u00e9trole d\u00e9terminent ceux du gaz et impactent ceux du charbon. De plus, ils orientent les prix de nombreuses sources d’\u00e9nergies secondaires comme les carburants ou l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9. C’est en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 plus des […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":10980,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1564","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites"],"yoast_head":"\nEt si les cours du p\u00e9trole d\u00e9pendaient d'un possible accord entre l'OPEP et la Russie? - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/28\/et-si-les-cours\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Et si les cours du p\u00e9trole d\u00e9pendaient d'un possible accord entre l'OPEP et la Russie? - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"                       Les volumes de p\u00e9trole consomm\u00e9s repr\u00e9sentent la premi\u00e8re ressource d’\u00e9nergie primaire au monde. 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