{"id":1659,"date":"2008-11-10T21:56:45","date_gmt":"2008-11-10T21:56:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/10\/gorbatchev-ou-l\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T11:06:42","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T11:06:42","slug":"gorbatchev-ou-l","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/10\/gorbatchev-ou-l\/","title":{"rendered":"Gorbatchev ou Louis XV ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Images_4\"<\/a> La crise US se fait pressente et la lourde et lente politique am\u00e9ricaine va, semble t’il \u00e9voluer.
Press\u00e9 par la situation qui devient de plus en plus grave, Obama deviendra OBLIGE de r\u00e9orienter la politique de d\u00e9fense<\/a>, la guerre contre le terrorisme est \u00e9vacu\u00e9e, abandonn\u00e9e, ringardis\u00e9e, au profit de probl\u00e8mes internes, et le plus pressent des probl\u00e8mes internes, c’est le pentagone.
L’administration de la d\u00e9fense ne maitrise plus ses budgets, et ceux-ci sont devenus insoutenables \u00e9conomiquement.
A l’est, cela aura des cons\u00e9quences. Le d\u00e9ploiement des ABM sera "suspendu" sans doute d\u00e9finitivement, malgr\u00e9 la pression de certains milieux des pays de l’est, pour qu’il soit d\u00e9ploy\u00e9. <\/p>\n

Angela Merkel<\/a> rejette l’adh\u00e9sion de la G\u00e9orgie et de l’Ukraine dans l’OTAN, en termes diplomatiques : "L’Ukraine et la G\u00e9orgie pourront devenir membres de l’OTAN \u00e0 condition remplir les exigences n\u00e9cessaires, ce qui n’est pas envisageable dans un proche avenir, a estim\u00e9 la chanceli\u00e8re allemande."
Le d\u00e9sir de coop\u00e9ration, y compris am\u00e9ricain, avec la Russie, l’emporte sur la frange qui d\u00e9sire la confrontation.
Il faut dire, que, d\u00e9sormais, les USA n’ont gu\u00e8re le choix, deux fronts, l’irakien et l’afghan \u00e0 tenir, c’est d\u00e9j\u00e0 beaucoup (et difficile), alors, le front russe…
L’\u00e9volution de la situation ne laissera sans doute, au nouveau pr\u00e9sident, pas d’autre choix que la remise en cause du syst\u00e8me int\u00e9rieur<\/a>, comme Gorbatchev, comme la r\u00e9volution royale<\/a> de Louis XV (1770-1774), comme ses deux pr\u00e9d\u00e9cesseurs, ils devra affronter une partie des tenants du statu-quo (le complexe militaro-industriel fait vivre beaucoup de gens) et certains parlent de mobiliser la population en appui, via internet.
Avec les deux risques. Celui rencontr\u00e9 par Louis XV, de n’\u00eatre pas ou pas assez suivi et soutenu, et de mourir dans une impopularit\u00e9 totale, pendant que la noblesse acclamait son successeur, ou celui de ne plus maitriser et d’\u00eatre d\u00e9pass\u00e9 par le mouvement, comme Gorbatchev. <\/p>\n

La pression des \u00e9v\u00e8nements ne laisse gu\u00e8re le choix.
Et la voie est \u00e9troite, entre les deux d\u00e9nouements. Il faudra aussi maitriser le mouvement.
La Russie, quand \u00e0 elle, semble savourer une puissance retrouv\u00e9e, qui fait profil bas.
Il faut dire que quand on maitrise 30 % de la production mondiale de gaz, on maitrise aussi un vrai pouvoir. On est une vraie puissance. Il n’y a pas besoin de se la jouer, ni de proclamer \u00e0 tout bout de champ : "nous sommes les meilleurs"… C’est tellement \u00e9vident, qu’il n’y a aucun besoin de le rappeler. <\/p>\n

Lundi 10 novembre 2008<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La crise US se fait pressente et la lourde et lente politique am\u00e9ricaine va, semble t’il \u00e9voluer. Press\u00e9 par la situation qui devient de plus en plus grave, Obama deviendra OBLIGE de r\u00e9orienter la politique de d\u00e9fense, la guerre contre le terrorisme est \u00e9vacu\u00e9e, abandonn\u00e9e, ringardis\u00e9e, au profit de probl\u00e8mes internes, et le plus pressent […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":10781,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[602],"class_list":["post-1659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-angela-merkel-politique-de-defense-systeme-interieur"],"yoast_head":"\nGorbatchev ou Louis XV ? - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/10\/gorbatchev-ou-l\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Gorbatchev ou Louis XV ? - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"La crise US se fait pressente et la lourde et lente politique am\u00e9ricaine va, semble t’il \u00e9voluer. 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