{"id":1675,"date":"2008-11-07T21:27:34","date_gmt":"2008-11-07T21:27:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/07\/agence-internat\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T11:06:17","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T11:06:17","slug":"agence-internat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/07\/agence-internat\/","title":{"rendered":"Agence internationale de l’\u00e9nergie : encore optimiste"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Images_4\"<\/a> L’AIE veut tirer la sonnette d’alarme<\/a>, mais son coup de klaxon est encore un "pouet" bien timide et bien d\u00e9phas\u00e9.
Pour l’AIE, il faut entamer la d\u00e9carbonisation en urgence, tout en pr\u00e9voyant une consommation passant de 84 millions de barils \/jour aujourd’hui \u00e0 106 millions en 2030 (o\u00f9 sont pass\u00e9s les 130 ?), manque d’investissements et d\u00e9clin acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9 rendrait la production al\u00e9atoire.
On ne saurait \u00eatre plus contradictoire.
La baisse des consommations ferait baisser la pression de la demande, il n’y aurait sans doute pas d’urgence, donc \u00e0 tant investir.
Le ton g\u00e9n\u00e9ral de l’article, reste quand m\u00eame une proximit\u00e9 forte du pic-oil, m\u00eame si les causes ne sont pas que g\u00e9ologiques, mais aussi financi\u00e8res, \u00e9conomiques, g\u00e9opolitiques…
En m\u00eame temps, on reste dans les limites du politiquement correct. <\/p>\n

On n’envisage m\u00eame pas une "variante" du plan d’action, comme aurait dit le petit p\u00e8re Joffre.
La variante, c’est le collapsus \u00e9conomique de tout ou (plus certainement) partie des pays d\u00e9velopp\u00e9s.
On ne peut \u00e9carter, \u00e0 l’heure actuelle, d’un revers de main, la possibilit\u00e9 d’une d\u00e9faillance US compl\u00e8te, ainsi que celle de pays trop "suiveurs". C’est bien connu, les empires sont immortels et \u00e9ternels.
GM est en train de mourir<\/a>.Le march\u00e9 automobile am\u00e9ricain s’est contract\u00e9 de 16 millions de v\u00e9hicules \u00e0 10.6 en une ann\u00e9e, ce n’est plus la performance d’une \u00e9conomie d\u00e9velopp\u00e9, mais la marche d’un pays du tiers monde, avec des hauts et des bas automobiles tr\u00e8s marqu\u00e9s.
Le dernier tripatouillage, la fusion avec Chrysler, est abandonn\u00e9e, c’\u00e9tait, de toute fa\u00e7on, sans int\u00e9r\u00eat quelconque.
Ford veut r\u00e9duire, d’ici janvier, ses co\u00fbts salariaux de 10 %.
Le ravage sur l’\u00e9conomie<\/a> va se poursuivre, au risque du clash. <\/p>\n

C’est Daimler qui reconnait le risque syst\u00e9mique aussi sur l’automobile ( "Les pr\u00e9dictions sont cependant impossibles. La fourchette des pronostics sur l’\u00e9volution \u00e9conomique n’a jamais \u00e9t\u00e9 aussi large  "), et quand on connait le poids de l’automobile dans nos soci\u00e9t\u00e9s, sur nos soci\u00e9t\u00e9s en entier. <\/p>\n

Vendredi 7 novembre 2008<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L’AIE veut tirer la sonnette d’alarme, mais son coup de klaxon est encore un "pouet" bien timide et bien d\u00e9phas\u00e9.Pour l’AIE, il faut entamer la d\u00e9carbonisation en urgence, tout en pr\u00e9voyant une consommation passant de 84 millions de barils \/jour aujourd’hui \u00e0 106 millions en 2030 (o\u00f9 sont pass\u00e9s les 130 ?), manque d’investissements et […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":10748,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[611],"class_list":["post-1675","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-la-sonnette-dalarme-gm-est-en-train-de-mourir"],"yoast_head":"\nAgence internationale de l'\u00e9nergie : encore optimiste - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/07\/agence-internat\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Agence internationale de l'\u00e9nergie : encore optimiste - 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