{"id":1679,"date":"2008-11-06T21:04:25","date_gmt":"2008-11-06T21:04:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/06\/le-problme-amri\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T11:06:15","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T11:06:15","slug":"le-problme-amri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/06\/le-problme-amri\/","title":{"rendered":"Le probl\u00e8me am\u00e9ricain."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Cnnlarge\"<\/a> Le probl\u00e8me am\u00e9ricain, en ce qui concerne l’\u00e9nergie est simple.
La production locale, p\u00e9troli\u00e8re et gazi\u00e8re est tr\u00e8s en de\u00e7a de sa consommation. Pourtant, cette production est loin d’\u00eatre marginale.
Pour le p\u00e9trole, c’est 7 millions de barils\/ jour produits, contre l’ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re 20.5 consomm\u00e9s. Le rapport va, pour faire simple, du simple au triple.
Pourtant, la production suffirait \u00e0 un pays industriel d\u00e9velopp\u00e9. Ce serait grosso-modo la consommation fran\u00e7aise pour la m\u00eame population. <\/p>\n

Le probl\u00e8me \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique am\u00e9ricain, outre le gaspillage, est celui d’\u00eatre une grande puissance. Elle accapare, sans contrepartie finalement, une fraction importante des ressources plan\u00e9taires. Elle paie son p\u00e9trole en $, donc, au cout tr\u00e8s faible, de fabrication de ceux-ci.
Mais cette mani\u00e8re de faire est indissociable du fait d’\u00eatre une grande puissance. Si les USA cessent d’\u00eatre une grande puissance, il n’y aura plus d’approvisionnement.
Si les USA cessent d’\u00eatre une grande puissance, la production locale d\u00e9clinera \u00e9norm\u00e9ment, car l’investissement en prospection est important.
C’est le pays qui tout entier, risque la dislocation.<\/p>\n

Propos outr\u00e9s, direz-vous ? Pas tellement. La conscience de la situation de d\u00e9pendance \u00e9tait celle de Rumsfeld, et de tous les n\u00e9o-cons. Ils ont essay\u00e9s de faire perdurer la situation, ils l’ont g\u00e2ch\u00e9 plus vite, en fait.
Rumsfeld allait plus loin<\/a>. Il posait la question de l’effondrement bureaucratique<\/a> du pentagone, du complexe militaro-industriel, et a -vainement- essay\u00e9 de reprendre la main.
Bien entendu, l’effondrement du complexe militaro-industriel a bien des chances, comme en URSS, de provoquer l’effondrement du pays.
Dans ce contexte, il est illusoire de penser au maintien d’une "demande" p\u00e9troli\u00e8re que rien ne vient plus solvabiliser, ni l’argent, ni la puissance.
Il a fort \u00e0 parier que, m\u00eame si les affaires ne vont pas si loin, la demande -locale- risque d’\u00eatre brid\u00e9e par la production locale.
Une \u00e9volution plus lin\u00e9aire, dans le sens de la baisse, voudrait dire que le pays subit une transition plus lisse, dans un contexte maitris\u00e9. Hors, la baisse de la consommation<\/a> \u00e0 laquelle on peut assister, rapide et qui s’acc\u00e9l\u00e8re, donne \u00e0 penser que la situation \u00e9conomique est d\u00e9sormais, hors de contr\u00f4le. On le savait en mati\u00e8re financi\u00e8re, mais l\u00e0, c’est l’\u00e9conomie r\u00e9elle qui trinque. <\/p>\n

Affaire \u00e0 suivre donc. Le prochain pr\u00e9sident prendra fonction dans presque 3 mois, et trois mois, dans un contexte pareil, c’est tr\u00e8s long.<\/p>\n

Jeudi 6 octobre 2008<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le probl\u00e8me am\u00e9ricain, en ce qui concerne l’\u00e9nergie est simple. La production locale, p\u00e9troli\u00e8re et gazi\u00e8re est tr\u00e8s en de\u00e7a de sa consommation. Pourtant, cette production est loin d’\u00eatre marginale. Pour le p\u00e9trole, c’est 7 millions de barils\/ jour produits, contre l’ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re 20.5 consomm\u00e9s. Le rapport va, pour faire simple, du simple au triple. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":10738,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[613],"class_list":["post-1679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-rumsfeld-allait-plus-loin-leffondrement-bureaucratique"],"yoast_head":"\nLe probl\u00e8me am\u00e9ricain. - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/11\/06\/le-problme-amri\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Le probl\u00e8me am\u00e9ricain. - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Le probl\u00e8me am\u00e9ricain, en ce qui concerne l’\u00e9nergie est simple. La production locale, p\u00e9troli\u00e8re et gazi\u00e8re est tr\u00e8s en de\u00e7a de sa consommation. Pourtant, cette production est loin d’\u00eatre marginale. Pour le p\u00e9trole, c’est 7 millions de barils\/ jour produits, contre l’ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re 20.5 consomm\u00e9s. Le rapport va, pour faire simple, du simple au triple. 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