{"id":1855,"date":"2008-10-02T21:06:50","date_gmt":"2008-10-02T21:06:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/10\/02\/la-guerre-sur-d\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T11:00:20","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T11:00:20","slug":"la-guerre-sur-d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/10\/02\/la-guerre-sur-d\/","title":{"rendered":"La guerre sur deux fronts."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Bagration\"<\/a> La guerre en Afghanistan et en Irak approchent de leur terme.
Il n’y a plus de r\u00e9serves US, et la guerre sur deux fronts \u00e9puise les ressources.
Pour le site AntiWar.com<\/a>, la situation est celle de l’Allemagne de 1944, avec une guerre sur deux fronts, plus de renforts, \u00e0 cause de la crise des effectifs et des ennemis qui se renforcent constamment.
La tranquillit\u00e9 actuelle en Irak est trompeuse, elle est pr\u00e9caire et ne repose que sur une situation temporaire de "partage de pouvoir", et peut difficilement perdurer.
Les quelques milliers d’hommes que Gates voulait retirer d’Irak risquent de ne plus \u00eatre disponible. <\/p>\n

A cela s’ajoute l’usure du mat\u00e9riel, des hommes, du moral.
L’id\u00e9al pour une d\u00e9faite militaire compl\u00e8te.
Le pouvoir am\u00e9ricain a fait une guerre "pour voir", situation du joueur de poker<\/a>.
Il a m\u00e9pris\u00e9 une approche plus napol\u00e9onienne, pour qui la bataille n’\u00e9tait que le r\u00e9sultat de la campagne, et Napol\u00e9on aimait dire qu’il gagnait celle-ci sur les ampoules de ses soldats.
Dans la campagne qui conduisit \u00e0 Ulm et \u00e0 Austerlitz, ses soldats march\u00e8rent \u00e0 la m\u00eame vitesse que les panzers de Guderian, 140 ans plus tard, pendant la campagne de France.
Mais les deux, les pieds et les panzers, trouv\u00e8rent leurs limites. C’est la Russie.
C’est marrant, le prisme avec lequel on voit cette puissance.
On dit, \u00e0 toutes les \u00e9poques, que l\u00e0-bas c’est le merdier, et qu’on y parie pas un kopeck dessus.<\/p>\n

Pourtant le pays existe depuis 6 si\u00e8cles. Les arm\u00e9es sont battues, pour la raison transport, \u00e9tirement des lignes de communications et fonte des effectifs, de par la taille de la conqu\u00eate et pour la logistique.
Il n’y a aucune raison pour que l’Irak et l’Afghanistan soit diff\u00e9rents.
La situation d’ailleurs, de l’Allemagne \u00e9tait bien meilleure en 1944. Malgr\u00e9 toutes ses difficult\u00e9s, elle b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiait de l’avantage transport en \u00e9tant au centre de la toile, elle pu se r\u00e9tablir un temps pendant l’hiver pendant que ses ennemis, aux voies de communications distendues soufflaient.
Pour les forces engageaient en Irak et Afghanistan, ce sera beaucoup plus compliqu\u00e9 de se retirer. <\/p>\n

Jeudi 2 octobre 2008. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La guerre en Afghanistan et en Irak approchent de leur terme. Il n’y a plus de r\u00e9serves US, et la guerre sur deux fronts \u00e9puise les ressources. Pour le site AntiWar.com, la situation est celle de l’Allemagne de 1944, avec une guerre sur deux fronts, plus de renforts, \u00e0 cause de la crise des effectifs […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":10363,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[685],"class_list":["post-1855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-joueur-de-poker-antiwar-com"],"yoast_head":"\nLa guerre sur deux fronts. - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/10\/02\/la-guerre-sur-d\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"La guerre sur deux fronts. - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"La guerre en Afghanistan et en Irak approchent de leur terme. 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