{"id":1961,"date":"2008-09-13T14:26:45","date_gmt":"2008-09-13T14:26:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:56:22","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:56:22","slug":"laiea-revoit-en","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/","title":{"rendered":"L&rsquo;AIEA revoit en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse ses pr\u00e9visions d&rsquo;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&rsquo;origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire pour 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; <strong><span style=\"font-size: 1.4em\">L<\/span><\/strong>&lsquo;Agence Internationale de l&rsquo;Energie Atomique \u00e0 revu ses pr\u00e9visions de production d&rsquo;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&rsquo;origine nucl\u00e9aire dans le monde \u00e0 l&rsquo;horizon 2030. Elle manipule deux sc\u00e9narios extr\u00eames: le premier avec une faible croissance mondiale de la demande en \u00e9lectricit\u00e9 (1,9%)&nbsp; et dans lequel la part \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire baisserait avec une progression annuelle de <strong><span style=\"color: #3300cc\">1,3%<\/span><\/strong>; le deuxi\u00e8me sc\u00e9nario suppose une croissance mondiale de la demande en \u00e9lectricit\u00e9 forte (3,3% par an) et une part d&rsquo;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&rsquo;origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire qui reste constante autour de 14%. Dans ce dernier cas les ressources \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aires croissent de <strong><span style=\"color: #3300cc\">3,3%<\/span><\/strong> par an comme la demande globale. Par grandes zones l&rsquo;AIEA maintient la part d&rsquo;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire aux Etats-Unis entre 18% et 20,6% selon le sc\u00e9nario (contre 19% aujourd&rsquo;hui), elle fait <u><strong>d\u00e9cro\u00eetre la part en Europe \u00e0 15% ou 20% en 2030<\/strong><\/u> (contre 27% en 2007) et elle fait cro\u00eetre la part en Asie vers 12% \u00e0 14% (contre 10% aujourd&rsquo;hui). Un tel sc\u00e9nario signifierait que les pays europ\u00e9ens ne r\u00e9aliseraient pas leur d\u00e9veloppement \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire comme pr\u00e9vu, ils auraient donc le choix entre le gaz (Russe?), le charbon polluant et les \u00e9nergies renouvelables.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; Ces pr\u00e9visions conduisent \u00e0 des puissances \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aires en croissance dans le monde (FIG.) \u00e0 473 GW pour l&rsquo;hypoth\u00e8se basse et \u00e0 748 GW pour l&rsquo;hypoth\u00e8se haute,&nbsp; mais en tr\u00e8s forte d\u00e9croissance en Europe dans le cas de l&rsquo;hypoth\u00e8se basse, o\u00f9 des nations, autres que l&rsquo;Allemagne abandonneraient tout ou partie de leur puissance \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire en ne renouvelant pas leurs centrales obsol\u00e8tes? <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_21.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"350\" alt=\"Nucleaireaiea2030p2_2\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_2.jpg\" width=\"480\"  \/><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/clabedan.typepad.com\/photos\/uncategorized\/2008\/09\/13\/nucleaireaiea2030p2.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Le 13 Septembre 2008.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; L&lsquo;Agence Internationale de l&rsquo;Energie Atomique \u00e0 revu ses pr\u00e9visions de production d&rsquo;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&rsquo;origine nucl\u00e9aire dans le monde \u00e0 l&rsquo;horizon 2030. Elle manipule deux sc\u00e9narios extr\u00eames: le premier avec une faible croissance mondiale de la demande en \u00e9lectricit\u00e9 (1,9%)&nbsp; et dans lequel la part \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire baisserait avec une [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":10140,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rechauffement-climatique"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>L&#039;AIEA revoit en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse ses pr\u00e9visions d&#039;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&#039;origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire pour 2030 - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"L&#039;AIEA revoit en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse ses pr\u00e9visions d&#039;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&#039;origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire pour 2030 - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; L&lsquo;Agence Internationale de l&rsquo;Energie Atomique \u00e0 revu ses pr\u00e9visions de production d&rsquo;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&rsquo;origine nucl\u00e9aire dans le monde \u00e0 l&rsquo;horizon 2030. Elle manipule deux sc\u00e9narios extr\u00eames: le premier avec une faible croissance mondiale de la demande en \u00e9lectricit\u00e9 (1,9%)&nbsp; et dans lequel la part \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire baisserait avec une [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_2.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Raymond Bonnaterre\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/\",\"name\":\"L'AIEA revoit en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse ses pr\u00e9visions d'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d'origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire pour 2030 - leblogenergie.com\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_2.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2008-09-13T14:26:45+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2012-07-12T10:56:22+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_2.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_2.jpg\",\"width\":\"480\",\"height\":\"350\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"L&rsquo;AIEA revoit en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse ses pr\u00e9visions d&rsquo;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&rsquo;origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire pour 2030\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\",\"name\":\"leblogenergie\",\"description\":\"Just another The Social Media Group Network site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794\",\"name\":\"Raymond Bonnaterre\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Raymond Bonnaterre\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/author\/raymond-bonnaterre\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"L'AIEA revoit en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse ses pr\u00e9visions d'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d'origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire pour 2030 - leblogenergie.com","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"L'AIEA revoit en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse ses pr\u00e9visions d'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d'origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire pour 2030 - leblogenergie.com","twitter_description":"&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; L&lsquo;Agence Internationale de l&rsquo;Energie Atomique \u00e0 revu ses pr\u00e9visions de production d&rsquo;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&rsquo;origine nucl\u00e9aire dans le monde \u00e0 l&rsquo;horizon 2030. Elle manipule deux sc\u00e9narios extr\u00eames: le premier avec une faible croissance mondiale de la demande en \u00e9lectricit\u00e9 (1,9%)&nbsp; et dans lequel la part \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire baisserait avec une [&hellip;]","twitter_image":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_2.jpg","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Raymond Bonnaterre","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/","url":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/","name":"L'AIEA revoit en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse ses pr\u00e9visions d'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d'origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire pour 2030 - leblogenergie.com","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_2.jpg","datePublished":"2008-09-13T14:26:45+00:00","dateModified":"2012-07-12T10:56:22+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_2.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/nucleaireaiea2030p2_2.jpg","width":"480","height":"350"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/09\/13\/laiea-revoit-en\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Accueil","item":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"L&rsquo;AIEA revoit en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse ses pr\u00e9visions d&rsquo;\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 d&rsquo;origine \u00e9lectronucl\u00e9aire pour 2030"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website","url":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/","name":"leblogenergie","description":"Just another The Social Media Group Network site","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794","name":"Raymond Bonnaterre","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Raymond Bonnaterre"},"url":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/author\/raymond-bonnaterre\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/341"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1961"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1961\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17836,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1961\/revisions\/17836"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10140"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}