{"id":2222,"date":"2008-07-20T16:26:00","date_gmt":"2008-07-20T16:26:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/07\/20\/nouvelle-de-bru\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T09:02:24","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T09:02:24","slug":"nouvelle-de-bru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/07\/20\/nouvelle-de-bru\/","title":{"rendered":"Nouvelle de brut."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Images\"<\/a> Un nouvel article dans "Terre de brut<\/a>".
Pour l’auteur, on a constat\u00e9 une remont\u00e9e en puissance de la production saoudienne et Irakienne.
La remont\u00e9e saoudienne a \u00e9t\u00e9 longue, d\u00e9licate et laborieuse.
Et pour lui, les ultimes marges de manoeuvres ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consomm\u00e9es, avec de lourdes retomb\u00e9es \u00e0 l’automne.
En r\u00e9alit\u00e9, ce t\u00e9moignage (trop) pessimiste est trop noir pour un certain nombre de raisons.
D’abord les sacrifices se r\u00e9partiront in\u00e9galement.
Celui qui ne consomme rien, ne perd rien.
Celui qui consomme beaucoup, va s’apercevoir qu’il peut consommer beaucoup moins. <\/p>\n

C’est certaines activit\u00e9s qui vont \u00e9norm\u00e9ment p\u00e2tir, comme le transport a\u00e9rien<\/a> (le 1\/4 de la consommation), et la r\u00e9action sera rapide : fermetures des lignes les moins fr\u00e9quent\u00e9es, d\u00e9p\u00f4ts de bilans, choix de moyens de transports alternatifs.
Sera touch\u00e9e aussi une activit\u00e9, finalement pas tr\u00e8s utile, le tourisme.
D’une mani\u00e8re g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, le tri sera vite fait entre l’important, le vital et l’accessoire.
L’accessoire va \u00e9norm\u00e9ment souffrir.
Pour l’indispensable, il faudra investir, c’est ce qui se passe et une r\u00e9duction de consommation \u00e0 hauteur de 2 % l’an n’apparait pas comme d\u00e9mesur\u00e9e, mais comme un effort assez moyen.
Bien entendu, si les \u00e9tats et les classes politiques percutent, cela peut aller beaucoup plus vite.
Le p\u00e9trole ob\u00e9it \u00e0 la loi g\u00e9n\u00e9rale : recettes – d\u00e9penses = solde. Dans ce cas l\u00e0, la recette diminue, mais la d\u00e9pense est susceptible de s’effondrer encore plus rapidement.
On peut s’attendre, donc, \u00e0 des cours en dents de scie. Une remont\u00e9e brutale fera baisser brutalement les consommations, jusqu’\u00e0 ce que la flamb\u00e9e des cours am\u00e8ne une nouvelle vague d’\u00e9conomies. <\/p>\n

Dimanche 20 juillet 2008<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Un nouvel article dans "Terre de brut". Pour l’auteur, on a constat\u00e9 une remont\u00e9e en puissance de la production saoudienne et Irakienne.La remont\u00e9e saoudienne a \u00e9t\u00e9 longue, d\u00e9licate et laborieuse. Et pour lui, les ultimes marges de manoeuvres ont \u00e9t\u00e9 consomm\u00e9es, avec de lourdes retomb\u00e9es \u00e0 l’automne. En r\u00e9alit\u00e9, ce t\u00e9moignage (trop) pessimiste est trop […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":9592,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[834],"class_list":["post-2222","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","tag-terre-de-brut-transport-aerien"],"yoast_head":"\nNouvelle de brut. - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/07\/20\/nouvelle-de-bru\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Nouvelle de brut. - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Un nouvel article dans "Terre de brut". 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