{"id":2273,"date":"2008-07-10T22:03:56","date_gmt":"2008-07-10T22:03:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/07\/10\/inra-on-continu\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:47:39","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:47:39","slug":"inra-on-continu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/07\/10\/inra-on-continu\/","title":{"rendered":"INRA : on continue"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Images_3\"<\/a> Le probl\u00e8me, avec les "experts", c’est qu’ils partent d’une exp\u00e9rience pass\u00e9e<\/a>, qu’ils projettent dans l’avenir, sans jamais deviner les points de rupture, ou sans jamais vouloir les voir.
L’INRA parle des  campagnes fran\u00e7aises en 2030 et se contente de parler de ce qui est d\u00e9j\u00e0 arriv\u00e9 : p\u00e9ri-urbanisation et mitage agricole, exode rural et espaces agricoles "destructur\u00e9s".
C’est plut\u00f4t l’esprit des "experts" qui est destructur\u00e9.
En effet, la pression d\u00e9mographique sera, en 2030, envol\u00e9e, le sch\u00e9ma d’exode rural, de d\u00e9veloppement \u00e9conomique s’appuie sur UN param\u00e9tre et UN seul, c’est l’\u00e9nergie fossile bon march\u00e9. <\/p>\n

En outre, pour habiter en ville, il faut y avoir un int\u00e9r\u00eat.
L’emploi \u00e9tait en ville, mais l’emploi industriel a \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9localis\u00e9 et l’emploi tertiaire, de service, s’av\u00e8re tr\u00e8s instable.
La situation actuelle alimentaire en effet, va perdurer, et il ne sera pas forc\u00e9ment un bon calcul de vivre dans une ville au ch\u00f4mage, difficilement approvisionn\u00e9e, ou du moins, co\u00fbteusement approvisionn\u00e9.
L’Opep, quand \u00e0 elle voit une consommation de p\u00e9trole en recule<\/a> en 2030, par rapport aux derni\u00e8res projections.
Et il y aura concurrence entre le terrain occup\u00e9 par la construction et l’alimentation. Il n’est pas dit que le meilleur rendement soit de louer ou d’occuper.
La France a vu une importante infrastructure urbaine et rurale \u00eatre d\u00e9truite depuis le d\u00e9but de l’exode rural en 1866.
Le mitage et l’expansion urbaine ne sont pas forc\u00e9ment appel\u00e9 \u00e0 perdurer et il aurait \u00e9t\u00e9 bon, pour les "experts" de varienter leur propos, autres que les variantes qui existent d\u00e9j\u00e0.
Mais les pr\u00e9visions sont les pr\u00e9visions, destin\u00e9es \u00e0 \u00eatre fausses<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Photo : GNU Free Documentation license<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/span> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le probl\u00e8me, avec les "experts", c’est qu’ils partent d’une exp\u00e9rience pass\u00e9e, qu’ils projettent dans l’avenir, sans jamais deviner les points de rupture, ou sans jamais vouloir les voir.L’INRA parle des  campagnes fran\u00e7aises en 2030 et se contente de parler de ce qui est d\u00e9j\u00e0 arriv\u00e9 : p\u00e9ri-urbanisation et mitage agricole, exode rural et espaces agricoles […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":9479,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[857],"class_list":["post-2273","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","tag-consommation-de-petrole-en-recule-experience-passee"],"yoast_head":"\nINRA : on continue - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/07\/10\/inra-on-continu\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"INRA : on continue - 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