{"id":2317,"date":"2008-07-03T21:46:07","date_gmt":"2008-07-03T21:46:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/07\/03\/la-guerre-diran\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:46:09","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:46:09","slug":"la-guerre-diran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/07\/03\/la-guerre-diran\/","title":{"rendered":"La guerre d’Iran n’aura pas lieu."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Grognard\"<\/a> Le garnement, le galapiat, l’agit\u00e9 de service, le pr\u00e9sident quoi, vient de se faire rappeler \u00e0 l’ordre, par un vieux grognard<\/a>, l’amiral Mullen (Et oui, aux USA, le grognard, ronchonscrogneugneu, c’est un marin).
"This is a very unstable part of the world and I don’t need it to be more unstable<\/em>  ", et l’amiral refuse, \u00e0 l’instar de la totalit\u00e9 du Pentagone, civil comme militaire, une confrontation avec l’Iran.
Pour lui, les cons\u00e9quences seraient totalement incalculables, par la fermeture d’Ormuz, et le sort de la marine am\u00e9ricaine (ce n’est pas dit clairement, mais la marine US s’attend \u00e0 \u00eatre d\u00e9cim\u00e9e en cas de confrontation).
D’ailleurs, \u00e0 l’int\u00e9rieur de l’administration am\u00e9ricaine, R. Gates <\/a>est lui aussi, absolument oppos\u00e9 \u00e0 toute guerre. <\/p>\n

On peut dire que ce param\u00e8tre aura des r\u00e9percussions importantes.
Le pr\u00e9sident et le vice-pr\u00e9sident sont isol\u00e9s dans leur volont\u00e9 guerri\u00e8re.
Sont isol\u00e9s aussi, de la m\u00eame mani\u00e8re, les faucons isra\u00e9liens, et les isra\u00e9liens sont eux-m\u00eames, sur la question, divis\u00e9s.
Les bruits de bottes n’entraineront donc pas une flamb\u00e9e carabin\u00e9e du prix du p\u00e9trole.
Le prix actuel du baril est en train de cr\u00e9er une d\u00e9pression et mieux, un \u00e9lectrochoc, notamment aux USA, sur la consommation \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique.
Le cauchemar des saoudiens est en train de se r\u00e9aliser. C’est la forte baisse de la consommation qui s’annonce, d’abord par la d\u00e9pression, ensuite par un changement de mentalit\u00e9, enfin par une politique d’\u00e9conomies d’\u00e9nergies.
Le seul probl\u00e8me est que cela se passe, tr\u00e8s tard. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le garnement, le galapiat, l’agit\u00e9 de service, le pr\u00e9sident quoi, vient de se faire rappeler \u00e0 l’ordre, par un vieux grognard, l’amiral Mullen (Et oui, aux USA, le grognard, ronchonscrogneugneu, c’est un marin)."This is a very unstable part of the world and I don’t need it to be more unstable  ", et l’amiral refuse, \u00e0 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":9385,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[875],"class_list":["post-2317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-un-vieux-grognard-r-gates"],"yoast_head":"\nLa guerre d'Iran n'aura pas lieu. - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/07\/03\/la-guerre-diran\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"La guerre d'Iran n'aura pas lieu. - 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