{"id":2344,"date":"2008-06-27T14:32:46","date_gmt":"2008-06-27T14:32:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T08:58:41","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T08:58:41","slug":"le-peak-car-amr","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/","title":{"rendered":"Le \u00ab\u00a0peak car am\u00e9ricain\u00a0\u00bb: une hypoth\u00e8se s\u00e9rieusement envisag\u00e9e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<strong><span style=\"font-size: 1.4em\">I<\/span><\/strong>l a \u00e9t\u00e9 report\u00e9 sur ce blog la baisse du parc automobile Japonais r\u00e9sultant math\u00e9matiquement d&rsquo;un nombre de ventes de nouvelles voitures inf\u00e9rieur au nombre de v\u00e9hicules mis \u00e0 la casse (<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/entre-dans-le-2.html_.png\">LIRE<\/a>). Dans une \u00e9tude parue sur CIBC World Markets, Jeff Rubin et Benjamin Tall, partant d&rsquo;une hypoth\u00e8se d&rsquo;un prix du p\u00e9trole \u00e0 200$ le baril en 2010, conduisant \u00e0 un prix de l&rsquo;essence \u00e0 7$ le gallon (il \u00e9tait en moyenne de 4,08$ le gallon la semaine derni\u00e8re) envisagent s\u00e9rieusement une contraction du parc automobile am\u00e9ricain. Ils basent leur pr\u00e9vision sur un accroissement des mises \u00e0 la casse de vieilles voitures qui passerait de 5,2% en 2007 \u00e0 6% en 2011 -2012 soit un nombre de voitures retir\u00e9es qui passerait de 12 millions \u00e0 14 millions. Ils anticipent \u00e9galement une baisse des ventes de voitures neuves, en raison de la d\u00e9saffection des plus pauvres pour un v\u00e9hicule au profit des transports en commun.<a href=\"http:\/\/clabedan.typepad.com\/photos\/uncategorized\/2008\/06\/27\/peakcar.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"367\" alt=\"Peakcar\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/peakcar.png\" width=\"480\"  \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;En effet 57 millions des foyers am\u00e9ricains poss\u00e9dant une voiture ont un acc\u00e8s raisonnable aux transports en commun, ce qui permet d&rsquo;imaginer qu&rsquo;\u00e0 ces prix de l&rsquo;essence 10 millions d&rsquo;entre eux cesseraient de poss\u00e9der une voiture.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; Cette r\u00e9duction du parc automobile, l&rsquo;abandon progressif des 4X4 dont la part de march\u00e9 dans les ventes, d\u00e9cro\u00eet r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement tous les mois, l&rsquo;arriv\u00e9e de nouveaux mod\u00e8les plus \u00e9conomes en carburants (petites cylindr\u00e9es, v\u00e9hicules plus l\u00e9gers, versions hybrides, etc.), la r\u00e9duction des miles parcourus avec une \u00e9lasticit\u00e9 de 0,06 (pour une augmentation des prix de l&rsquo;essence de 10%, les miles parcourus par les automobilistes am\u00e9ricains baissent de 0,6%) permettent d&rsquo;anticiper des baisses de consommations de carburants beaucoup plus nettes que celles retenues jusque l\u00e0, dans les \u00e9tudes prospectives. <\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; Cette baisse de la consommation dans le domaine du transport am\u00e9ricain, est la raison principale qui pourrait amener le March\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole \u00e0 se stabiliser &#8230;un jour ou l&rsquo;autre?<\/p>\n<p>Le 27 Juin 2008.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;Il a \u00e9t\u00e9 report\u00e9 sur ce blog la baisse du parc automobile Japonais r\u00e9sultant math\u00e9matiquement d&rsquo;un nombre de ventes de nouvelles voitures inf\u00e9rieur au nombre de v\u00e9hicules mis \u00e0 la casse (LIRE). Dans une \u00e9tude parue sur CIBC World Markets, Jeff Rubin et Benjamin Tall, partant [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":9327,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rechauffement-climatique"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le &quot;peak car am\u00e9ricain&quot;: une hypoth\u00e8se s\u00e9rieusement envisag\u00e9e - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Le &quot;peak car am\u00e9ricain&quot;: une hypoth\u00e8se s\u00e9rieusement envisag\u00e9e - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;Il a \u00e9t\u00e9 report\u00e9 sur ce blog la baisse du parc automobile Japonais r\u00e9sultant math\u00e9matiquement d&rsquo;un nombre de ventes de nouvelles voitures inf\u00e9rieur au nombre de v\u00e9hicules mis \u00e0 la casse (LIRE). Dans une \u00e9tude parue sur CIBC World Markets, Jeff Rubin et Benjamin Tall, partant [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/peakcar.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Raymond Bonnaterre\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/\",\"name\":\"Le \\\"peak car am\u00e9ricain\\\": une hypoth\u00e8se s\u00e9rieusement envisag\u00e9e - leblogenergie.com\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/peakcar.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2008-06-27T14:32:46+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2012-07-12T08:58:41+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/peakcar.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/peakcar.png\",\"width\":\"480\",\"height\":\"367\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Le \u00ab\u00a0peak car am\u00e9ricain\u00a0\u00bb: une hypoth\u00e8se s\u00e9rieusement envisag\u00e9e\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\",\"name\":\"leblogenergie\",\"description\":\"Just another The Social Media Group Network site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794\",\"name\":\"Raymond Bonnaterre\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Raymond Bonnaterre\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/author\/raymond-bonnaterre\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Le \"peak car am\u00e9ricain\": une hypoth\u00e8se s\u00e9rieusement envisag\u00e9e - leblogenergie.com","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/27\/le-peak-car-amr\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"Le \"peak car am\u00e9ricain\": une hypoth\u00e8se s\u00e9rieusement envisag\u00e9e - leblogenergie.com","twitter_description":"&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;Il a \u00e9t\u00e9 report\u00e9 sur ce blog la baisse du parc automobile Japonais r\u00e9sultant math\u00e9matiquement d&rsquo;un nombre de ventes de nouvelles voitures inf\u00e9rieur au nombre de v\u00e9hicules mis \u00e0 la casse (LIRE). 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