{"id":2471,"date":"2008-06-03T20:47:05","date_gmt":"2008-06-03T20:47:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/03\/la-main-invisib\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:41:52","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:41:52","slug":"la-main-invisib","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/03\/la-main-invisib\/","title":{"rendered":"La main invisible…"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Images_2\"<\/a> L’Opep ne se trompe gu\u00e8re.
Elle pr\u00e9voit une baisse de la demande de p\u00e9trole <\/a>pour 2008.
Ce sera v\u00e9rifi\u00e9, car depuis 25 ans, le p\u00e9trole un moment \u00e9pargn\u00e9 fut gaspill\u00e9 de plus belle.
On laiss\u00e2t faire la main invisible, et la main invisible nous ass\u00e8ne un gnon.
Mais le sc\u00e9nario que redoutait l’Opep est en train de se produire, une nouvelle politique, une nouvelle remont\u00e9e du tr\u00e9fond des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s pour les \u00e9conomies d’\u00e9nergie.
Les gouvernements depuis 1985 ont laiss\u00e9 faire. Surtout ne pas acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer la diffusion du progr\u00e8s technique, surtout ne pas troubler le jeu du march\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Comme on a 25 ans de retard, le retour de b\u00e2ton sera plus important.
Dans le m\u00eame temps, Total persiste et signe en disant que la production ne d\u00e9passera pas 100 millions de barils \/jour.
Si le pic-oil est arriv\u00e9, il aura plusieurs dimensions. Il est \u00e0 la fois g\u00e9ologique (la ressource est plus difficile \u00e0 exploiter), d\u00fb aux investissements (ou plut\u00f4t aux carences d’investissements) et politique (on ne va pas tirer du p\u00e9trole pour faire rouler des porcs ob\u00e8ses dans leur SUV -point de vue mexicain).
Plus poliment dit, on r\u00e9serve la ressource pour l’avenir plut\u00f4t que d’entasser sur des comptes en banque de l’argent qui, au fond n’a pas grande valeur.
De plus, dans un contexte largement sp\u00e9culatif, le peu de ressources disponible qui reste, joint \u00e0 une r\u00e9tractation de la demande, risque d’entrainer les cours aux tr\u00e9fonds<\/a>. 
Probl\u00e8me de leadership enfin. Le p\u00e9trole est largement domin\u00e9 par les USA. La fin de l’empire US signifiera aussi la fin d’un symbole, le p\u00e9trole \u00e9ternel et bon march\u00e9. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L’Opep ne se trompe gu\u00e8re. Elle pr\u00e9voit une baisse de la demande de p\u00e9trole pour 2008.Ce sera v\u00e9rifi\u00e9, car depuis 25 ans, le p\u00e9trole un moment \u00e9pargn\u00e9 fut gaspill\u00e9 de plus belle. On laiss\u00e2t faire la main invisible, et la main invisible nous ass\u00e8ne un gnon. Mais le sc\u00e9nario que redoutait l’Opep est en train […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":9052,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[936],"class_list":["post-2471","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","tag-la-demande-de-petrole-les-cours-aux-trefonds"],"yoast_head":"\nLa main invisible... - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/06\/03\/la-main-invisib\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"La main invisible... - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"L’Opep ne se trompe gu\u00e8re. Elle pr\u00e9voit une baisse de la demande de p\u00e9trole pour 2008.Ce sera v\u00e9rifi\u00e9, car depuis 25 ans, le p\u00e9trole un moment \u00e9pargn\u00e9 fut gaspill\u00e9 de plus belle. On laiss\u00e2t faire la main invisible, et la main invisible nous ass\u00e8ne un gnon. 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