{"id":25555,"date":"2015-10-21T14:01:32","date_gmt":"2015-10-21T14:01:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/?p=25555"},"modified":"2015-10-28T07:58:06","modified_gmt":"2015-10-28T07:58:06","slug":"la-croissance-du-parc-photovoltaique-semble-se-tasser-en-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2015\/10\/21\/la-croissance-du-parc-photovoltaique-semble-se-tasser-en-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"La croissance du parc photovolta\u00efque semble se tasser en Europe"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dans un papier, datant de mi-2014,\u00a0 j’avais attir\u00e9 l’attention des lecteurs de ce blog sur la pr\u00e9vision d’Arnaud Chaperon de Total qui projetait pour 2035 une installation mondiale de panneaux photovolta\u00efques de 2 TW<\/strong> , ce qui repr\u00e9senterait alors autour des 8% de la g\u00e9n\u00e9ration d’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 mondiale, les autres ressources d’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et les modulations d’appels de puissance se chargeant de r\u00e9guler l’ad\u00e9quation entre offre et demande.<\/p>\n

Selon l’IEA, la puissance photovolta\u00efque install\u00e9e en 2014 \u00e9tait de l’ordre de 174 GW, en bonne croissance (de 34 GW)\u00a0 par rapport \u00e0 2013. Mais cette progression est la r\u00e9sultante d’une forte avance des installations dans la zone Asie-Pacifique et, plus modestement, sur le continent am\u00e9ricain\u00a0 mais avec une progression beaucoup plus faible en Europe (FIG.I)<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Les subventions tarifaires en forte baisse en Europe et l’instabilit\u00e9 croissante des r\u00e9seaux tendent \u00e0 limiter la progression de la puissance photovolta\u00efque install\u00e9e et m\u00eame \u00e0 rendre la courbe de puissance en fonction du temps se rapprochant d’<\/strong>une asymptote horizontale situ\u00e9e vers les 100 GW .<\/p>\n

Pensons \u00e0 l’Espagne ensoleill\u00e9e qui envisage m\u00eame de taxer certaines installations photovolta\u00efques<\/strong><\/a>! Que de reniements; c’est le monde \u00e0 l’envers, dans un pays, o\u00f9 l’instabilit\u00e9 des r\u00e9seaux \u00e9lectriques est devenu un vrai probl\u00e8me.<\/p>\n

Pour atteindre les 2 TW de puissance mondiale install\u00e9e dans 20 ans, il faudrait installer annuellement autour des 100 GW de puissance photovolta\u00efque dans le monde.<\/p>\n

La r\u00e9alit\u00e9 est bien \u00e9loign\u00e9e de cet objectif.<\/p>\n

Il faudra peut-\u00eatre plus de temps que pr\u00e9vu par Total pour atteindre cet objectif ambitieux.<\/p>\n

Le 21 Octobre 2015<\/p>\n

Ceci expliquerait cela, dixit Papijo<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dans un papier, datant de mi-2014,\u00a0 j’avais attir\u00e9 l’attention des lecteurs de ce blog sur la pr\u00e9vision d’Arnaud Chaperon de Total qui projetait pour 2035 une installation mondiale de panneaux photovolta\u00efques de 2 TW , ce qui repr\u00e9senterait alors autour des 8% de la g\u00e9n\u00e9ration d’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 mondiale, les autres ressources d’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et les modulations d’appels […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25555","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-solaire"],"yoast_head":"\nLa croissance du parc photovolta\u00efque semble se tasser en Europe - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2015\/10\/21\/la-croissance-du-parc-photovoltaique-semble-se-tasser-en-europe\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"La croissance du parc photovolta\u00efque semble se tasser en Europe - 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