{"id":3183,"date":"2008-01-17T16:45:45","date_gmt":"2008-01-17T16:45:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/01\/17\/projections-sur\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:19:11","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:19:11","slug":"projections-sur","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/01\/17\/projections-sur\/","title":{"rendered":"Projections sur les futures productions de p\u00e9trole"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/prod313.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"166\" alt=\"Prod31\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/prod311.jpg\" width=\"250\"  \/><\/a> &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;Neil King dans le Wall Street Journal donne quelques informations \u00e0 propos d&rsquo;une \u00e9tude du CERA portant sur les productions pass\u00e9es de 811 champs p\u00e9troliers en activit\u00e9 et qui montrerait que <u>la vitesse de d\u00e9pl\u00e9tion annuelle serait en moyenne de 4.5%<\/u>. Ceci veut dire que pour maintenir une production de p\u00e9trole autour des 90 millions de barils par jour il faut annuellement lancer en production des nouveaux champs capables de <u>produire au moins 4 millions bl\/j<\/u>. D&rsquo;apr\u00e8s le CERA moins de la moiti\u00e9 des champs examin\u00e9s seraient en d\u00e9clin. La discussion autour de ce genre d&rsquo;\u00e9tude porte sur la fiabilit\u00e9 des sources, en particulier pour les donn\u00e9es concernant les productions du Moyen-Orient ou de Russie qui forment une grande part des ressources. <\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;L&rsquo;\u00e9tude de Staniford qui a recens\u00e9 toutes <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leblogenergie.com\/2007\/12\/2008-anne-de-re.html\">les futures ouvertures de champs<\/a> dans les ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir montre que la barre des 4 millions bl\/j de nouvelles productions est d\u00e9pass\u00e9e ou assur\u00e9e pour au moins cinq ans jusqu&rsquo;en 2012. D&rsquo;ici-l\u00e0 de nouvelles prospections et de nouvelles productions seront programm\u00e9es. Il est donc possible d&rsquo;avancer que les volumes de production de p\u00e9trole, pour un contexte politique pas plus d\u00e9grad\u00e9 qu&rsquo;il ne l&rsquo;est actuellement, devraient continuer \u00e0 cro\u00eetre pour atteindre au moins 90 millions de barils par jour dans trois ou quatre ans. Ce sc\u00e9nario est en phase pour l&rsquo;instant avec les <a href=\"http:\/\/www.leblogenergie.com\/2007\/10\/lpuisement-des-.html\">projections hautes de Robelius<\/a> qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9tablies, elles aussi, par une m\u00e9thode analytique. Vouloir se projeter au del\u00e0 de cinq ans dans un probl\u00e8me aussi complexe rel\u00e8ve trop de la croyance ou de l&rsquo;intime conviction pour avoir une quelconque valeur scientifique.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;Neil King dans le Wall Street Journal donne quelques informations \u00e0 propos d&rsquo;une \u00e9tude du CERA portant sur les productions pass\u00e9es de 811 champs p\u00e9troliers en activit\u00e9 et qui montrerait que la vitesse de d\u00e9pl\u00e9tion annuelle serait en moyenne de 4.5%. Ceci veut dire que [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":7506,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energie-fossile"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Projections sur les futures productions de p\u00e9trole - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2008\/01\/17\/projections-sur\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Projections sur les futures productions de p\u00e9trole - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;Neil King dans le Wall Street Journal donne quelques informations \u00e0 propos d&rsquo;une \u00e9tude du CERA portant sur les productions pass\u00e9es de 811 champs p\u00e9troliers en activit\u00e9 et qui montrerait que la vitesse de d\u00e9pl\u00e9tion annuelle serait en moyenne de 4.5%. 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