{"id":3312,"date":"2007-12-25T20:35:16","date_gmt":"2007-12-25T20:35:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/12\/25\/irans-niouzes\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:15:44","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:15:44","slug":"irans-niouzes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/12\/25\/irans-niouzes\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran’s niouzes."},"content":{"rendered":"

La question iranienne s’est d\u00e9nou\u00e9 \u00e0 Washington, comme une lutte classique entre clans, n’ayant rien \u00e0 voir avec une d\u00e9mocratie, et comme but la possession des ressources gazi\u00e8res et p\u00e9troli\u00e8res iraniennes.
Les affrontements ont eu lieu entre les r\u00e9alistes (proche du pr\u00e9sident Bush p\u00e8re, et de James Baker), et les id\u00e9ologues (Cheney, Perle, Libby, Wolfowitz…). Et les id\u00e9ologues, ont au moins provisoirement, perdus.
Les r\u00e9alistes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 appuy\u00e9 par le Pentagone, et ce, pour plusieurs raisons.
\"Irannext\"<\/a> D’abord, en premier lieu, l’usure de l’arm\u00e9e, sur le terrain en Irak, des signes de d\u00e9sob\u00e9issance inqui\u00e9tants, et des tr\u00eaves sauvages sur le terrain.
En Afghanistan la guerre reprend et menace de s’\u00e9tendre au Pakistan.
Techniquement, des surprises ont eu lieu.
Des sous marins silencieux<\/a> chinois ont surpris le Kitty hawk et sa flotte d’accompagnement, et des bombardiers strat\u00e9giques russes n’ont \u00e9t\u00e9 rep\u00e9r\u00e9es au dessus de la m\u00eame flotte<\/a> de porte-avion, que visuellement.
La perte de comp\u00e9tence technique, \u00e9vidente, est lourdement ressentie, peut \u00eatre plus que l’ Irak. L’a\u00e9ronavale, est en effet depuis 1942, l’arme d’excellence nord-am\u00e9ricaine. <\/p>\n

Devant une telle somme de d\u00e9convenue, les iraniens ont pouss\u00e9s leurs pions, d’abord, maintenant, on parle de 19 centrales nucl\u00e9aires<\/a>, donc un choix "\u00e0 la fran\u00e7aise" du tout nucl\u00e9aire, avec le b\u00e9n\u00e9fice suppl\u00e9mentaire du dessalement d’eau, pour un pays o\u00f9 ce probl\u00e8me est r\u00e9current.
Ensuite, des pactes de "non-agressions" avec les forces am\u00e9ricaines sur place, qui visiblement ont leur propre strat\u00e9gie, ind\u00e9pendante du pouvoir politique m\u00e9pris\u00e9, ensuite, une r\u00e9introduction feutr\u00e9e de Moscou dans le jeu.
En effet, les Russes, excellents joueurs d’\u00e9checs, ont pr\u00e9f\u00e9r\u00e9 laiss\u00e9 les factions de Washington continuer \u00e0 s’\u00e9triper, plut\u00f4t qu’une r\u00e9introduction fracassante mais inutile. Pourquoi se fatiguer, quand il n’y a qu’\u00e0 ramasser ?
Enfin une diversification gazi\u00e8re et p\u00e9troli\u00e8re chinoise, \u00e0 minima, au grand b\u00e9n\u00e9fice de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran, qui invite les europ\u00e9ens \u00e0 faire de m\u00eame…
Dans le m\u00eame temps, un autre pion de Washington se porte mal, la G\u00e9orgie.
Cette crise iranienne aura permis une \u00e9viction des USA de l’ Asie centrale et de ses ressources importantes en hydrocarbures, une reconstitution acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9e de la mainmise russe, et une reconstitution du statut imp\u00e9rial russe.
En m\u00eame temps, une autre nation acc\u00e8de au statut imp\u00e9rial : l’ Iran. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La question iranienne s’est d\u00e9nou\u00e9 \u00e0 Washington, comme une lutte classique entre clans, n’ayant rien \u00e0 voir avec une d\u00e9mocratie, et comme but la possession des ressources gazi\u00e8res et p\u00e9troli\u00e8res iraniennes.Les affrontements ont eu lieu entre les r\u00e9alistes (proche du pr\u00e9sident Bush p\u00e8re, et de James Baker), et les id\u00e9ologues (Cheney, Perle, Libby, Wolfowitz…). Et […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":7228,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[1261],"class_list":["post-3312","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-19-centrales-nucleaires-sous-marins-silencieux-meme-flotte"],"yoast_head":"\nIran's niouzes. - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/12\/25\/irans-niouzes\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Iran's niouzes. - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"La question iranienne s’est d\u00e9nou\u00e9 \u00e0 Washington, comme une lutte classique entre clans, n’ayant rien \u00e0 voir avec une d\u00e9mocratie, et comme but la possession des ressources gazi\u00e8res et p\u00e9troli\u00e8res iraniennes.Les affrontements ont eu lieu entre les r\u00e9alistes (proche du pr\u00e9sident Bush p\u00e8re, et de James Baker), et les id\u00e9ologues (Cheney, Perle, Libby, Wolfowitz…). 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