{"id":3419,"date":"2007-12-05T18:10:43","date_gmt":"2007-12-05T18:10:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/12\/05\/opep-statu-quo\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:12:57","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:12:57","slug":"opep-statu-quo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/12\/05\/opep-statu-quo\/","title":{"rendered":"Opep, statu-quo, crise financi\u00e8re et quoi d’autres ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Opep\"<\/a> Le statut quo dans la production de l’Opep<\/a> n’est pas d\u00fb \u00e0 un bras de fer entre parties pro-am\u00e9ricains, anti-am\u00e9ricains, pour la bonne raison qu’il n’y a pas eu de bras de fer.
Les productions sont au taquet, elles ne peuvent aller au del\u00e0.
Les r\u00e9serves \u00e9taient politiquement surestim\u00e9 de 300 milliards de barils (12 ans de consommation).
Les d\u00e9couvertes actuelles sont difficilement exploitable, et \u00e0 co\u00fbt d\u00e9lirant.
Le dernier grand gisement comme Kashagan <\/a>au Kazakhstan est un m\u00e9lange de p\u00e9trole souffr\u00e9 et de gaz, hautement explosif, et les gisements offshores d\u00e9couverts au large du Br\u00e9sil difficilement exploitables.
Le maintien des prix \u00e9lev\u00e9 n’est pas non plus acquis, car on anticipe une r\u00e9cession aux USA,  et il sera difficile de reporter toujours une politique d’\u00e9conomies d’\u00e9nergies.<\/p>\n

D’abord parce que l’on risque d’ y \u00eatre forc\u00e9.
D’abord sur le march\u00e9 le plus consommateur, celui des \u00e9tats-unis.
En effet, rien n’indique que le $ restera encore longtemps accept\u00e9.
A l’allure o\u00f9 va sa d\u00e9valuation, il existe un risque potentiel que les acheteurs n’en veuillent plus, ce qui est d\u00e9j\u00e0 le cas pour certains, la d\u00e9valorisation par le biais de la crise financi\u00e8re de certains avoir incite aussi \u00e0 la mod\u00e9ration de la production ("Oil in the ground is better than dollar in a bank").
Il est un cas de figure donc, qu’il faut d\u00e9sormais envisager s\u00e9rieusement : celui o\u00f9 le plus gros march\u00e9 consommateur de la plan\u00e8te, les USA, doivent se contenter de leur importante production domestique, importante mais pas suffisante.
Et l\u00e0, on s’apercevrait qu’il y a surproduction massive… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le statut quo dans la production de l’Opep n’est pas d\u00fb \u00e0 un bras de fer entre parties pro-am\u00e9ricains, anti-am\u00e9ricains, pour la bonne raison qu’il n’y a pas eu de bras de fer. Les productions sont au taquet, elles ne peuvent aller au del\u00e0. Les r\u00e9serves \u00e9taient politiquement surestim\u00e9 de 300 milliards de barils (12 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":6987,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[1300],"class_list":["post-3419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-kashagan-production-de-lopep"],"yoast_head":"\nOpep, statu-quo, crise financi\u00e8re et quoi d'autres ? - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/12\/05\/opep-statu-quo\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Opep, statu-quo, crise financi\u00e8re et quoi d'autres ? - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Le statut quo dans la production de l’Opep n’est pas d\u00fb \u00e0 un bras de fer entre parties pro-am\u00e9ricains, anti-am\u00e9ricains, pour la bonne raison qu’il n’y a pas eu de bras de fer. Les productions sont au taquet, elles ne peuvent aller au del\u00e0. 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