{"id":3443,"date":"2007-12-01T07:11:40","date_gmt":"2007-12-01T07:11:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/12\/01\/les-cours-du-pt-8\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:12:22","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:12:22","slug":"les-cours-du-pt-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/12\/01\/les-cours-du-pt-8\/","title":{"rendered":"Les cours du p\u00e9trole retrouvent leurs marques"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Cours1\"<\/a>                  Apr\u00e8s une course effr\u00e9n\u00e9e "aux 100 dollars le baril" et l’atteinte de sommets hors de raison<\/a> voil\u00e0 les cours du p\u00e9trole am\u00e9ricain qui perdent de leur "irrationnelle exub\u00e9rance". D\u00e9tente d’autant plus m\u00e9ritoire qu’elle faillit \u00eatre stopp\u00e9e par le feu du pipe-line Enbridge dans le Minnesota. Les gazettes parlent maintenant de r\u00e9cession, de crise, les cours vont s’effondrer! D\u00e9cid\u00e9ment la raison n’est pas de mode, elle ne fait plus vendre.  Pour voir ou en sont les cours examinons les fluctuations autour de la droite de r\u00e9gression qui indique une tendance longue de variation annuelle des cours de 9.5$ par an.<\/p>\n

\"Oscil2\"<\/a>                L’oscillation des cours de part et d’autre de la droite de r\u00e9gression indiquent l’\u00e9tat du March\u00e9 par rapport \u00e0 une moyenne mobile qui assure un \u00e9quilibre dynamique entre l’offre et la demande, toutes les deux en croissance annuelle r\u00e9guli\u00e8re de 1,3 millions de barils par jour.<\/p>\n

         2007 aura vu un passage foudroyant d’un \u00e9tat de d\u00e9prime des cours \u00e0 la suite d’un mois de D\u00e9cembre 2006 tr\u00e8s doux aux Etats-Unis, avec un cours \u00e0 50$\/baril le 18 Janvier, \u00e0 une totale fr\u00e9n\u00e9sie r\u00e9cente pour la course aux 100$\/baril. Passage du simple au double des cours en dix mois. L’un et l’autre de ces deux extr\u00eames n’ont aucune rationalit\u00e9. <\/p>\n

             Les cours viennent de perdre 10$ de folie en une semaine, pour atteindre 88.7$\/baril \u00e0 la cl\u00f4ture du NYMEX. On le voit c’est encore un cours \u00e0 10$ au dessus de la moyenne mais il a rejoint la sinuso\u00efde de fluctuation \u00e0 moyen terme du moral du march\u00e9.<\/p>\n

              A court terme, le march\u00e9 \u00e9tant baissier on peut penser que les cours peuvent encore perdre quelques dollars en attendant la r\u00e9union de l’OPEP, mais il faudra suivre les stocks \u00e0 Cushing et les pr\u00e9visions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques nord am\u00e9ricaines qui pourraient faire remonter les cours en Janvier ou F\u00e9vrier.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                  Apr\u00e8s une course effr\u00e9n\u00e9e "aux 100 dollars le baril" et l’atteinte de sommets hors de raison voil\u00e0 les cours du p\u00e9trole am\u00e9ricain qui perdent de leur "irrationnelle exub\u00e9rance". D\u00e9tente d’autant plus m\u00e9ritoire qu’elle faillit \u00eatre stopp\u00e9e par le feu du pipe-line Enbridge dans le Minnesota. Les gazettes parlent maintenant […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":6934,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energie-fossile"],"yoast_head":"\nLes cours du p\u00e9trole retrouvent leurs marques - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/12\/01\/les-cours-du-pt-8\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Les cours du p\u00e9trole retrouvent leurs marques - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"                  Apr\u00e8s une course effr\u00e9n\u00e9e "aux 100 dollars le baril" et l’atteinte de sommets hors de raison voil\u00e0 les cours du p\u00e9trole am\u00e9ricain qui perdent de leur "irrationnelle exub\u00e9rance". 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