{"id":3527,"date":"2007-11-16T10:04:16","date_gmt":"2007-11-16T10:04:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/11\/16\/linflation-impa\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:09:43","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:09:43","slug":"linflation-impa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/11\/16\/linflation-impa\/","title":{"rendered":"L’inflation impact\u00e9e par les prix de l’\u00e9nergie"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Danielguestier\"<\/a>                    L<\/span>‘inflation US a atteint au mois d’Octobre 3,54% sur un an. C’est un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9, mais qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 atteint pendant les huit premiers mois de 2006 aux U.S.A. Les r\u00e9f\u00e9rences d’inflation aux Etats-Unis sont plus flexibles que celles pratiqu\u00e9es en Europe. Une analyse d\u00e9taill\u00e9e de ces chiffres montre que le poste "aliments et boissons" \u00e0 4,4% p\u00e8se sur l’indice, mais aussi, ce qui est moins comment\u00e9, que le poste "Sant\u00e9" se situe \u00e0 4,8%. Puis vient le poste "transport" impact\u00e9 par les cours de l’essence.<\/p>\n

                  Le poste "\u00e9nergie" qui n’apparait pas en lecture directe croit de 14,5% en un an et celui de l’essence de 23,4%. C’est beaucoup mais il faut remarquer que la r\u00e9f\u00e9rence d’il y a douze mois \u00e9tait dans les plus bas du "serpent" des cours de l’essence (FIG.).\"Gasol1\"<\/a>  <\/p>\n

            On peut donc anticiper que l’indice "\u00e9nergie" du mois de Novembre sera pire que celui d’Octobre. <\/p>\n

             L’inflation dans le monde va \u00eatre tir\u00e9e dans les ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir par l’accroissement des cours de l’\u00e9nergie<\/a> et de certaines mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res dont l’\u00e9laboration consomme de l’\u00e9nergie, l’Aluminium est l’exemple type, l’acier est aussi concern\u00e9. Cette \u00e9vidence se heurte \u00e0 la d\u00e9su\u00e8te pr\u00e9tention des Banques Centrales de vouloir piloter cette inflation par les taux. On le voit la FED ne se fait pas trop d’illusions et laisse aller son inflation aliment\u00e9e par un dollar faible. Mais la question  concerne la BCE. Monsieur Trichet peut accro\u00eetre ses taux, ils n’auront qu’un infime impact sur l’inflation, sinon au travers du taux de change euro\/dollar. Ne faudrait-il pas admettre, ce que fait implicitement la FED en suivant le CPI "hors \u00e9nergie et alimentation", qu’il y a une part al\u00e9atoire sur laquelle les Banques Centrales ne peuvent rien. Le reconna\u00eetre serait un acte d’une grande lucidit\u00e9 que nos banquiers europ\u00e9ens n’ont peut-\u00eatre pas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                    L‘inflation US a atteint au mois d’Octobre 3,54% sur un an. C’est un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9, mais qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 atteint pendant les huit premiers mois de 2006 aux U.S.A. Les r\u00e9f\u00e9rences d’inflation aux Etats-Unis sont plus flexibles que celles pratiqu\u00e9es en Europe. Une analyse d\u00e9taill\u00e9e de ces chiffres […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":6755,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3527","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites"],"yoast_head":"\nL'inflation impact\u00e9e par les prix de l'\u00e9nergie - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/11\/16\/linflation-impa\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"L'inflation impact\u00e9e par les prix de l'\u00e9nergie - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"                    L‘inflation US a atteint au mois d’Octobre 3,54% sur un an. C’est un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9, mais qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 atteint pendant les huit premiers mois de 2006 aux U.S.A. Les r\u00e9f\u00e9rences d’inflation aux Etats-Unis sont plus flexibles que celles pratiqu\u00e9es en Europe. 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