{"id":3613,"date":"2007-10-30T08:46:30","date_gmt":"2007-10-30T08:46:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:07:04","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:07:04","slug":"que-peut-faire-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Que peut faire l’OPEP?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Vallotton11\"<\/a>                 L<\/span>es cours du P\u00e9trole<\/a>, pour des raisons essentiellement am\u00e9ricaines, ont atteint des plus hauts. L’annonce d’un hiver pr\u00e9coce, en raison de "la Nina", les ennuis de la Pemex dans le Golfe du Mexique, la baisse attendue des taux de la FED, sont les \u00e9v\u00e8nements "locaux" qui animent les march\u00e9s du p\u00e9trole et du gaz. Les prix du gaz ont atteint 8$\/MMBTU, cours des saisons froides. Le stocks US de Propane d\u00e9marrent la saison d’hiver \u00e0 61 millions de barils, 11 millions au dessous d’il y a un an. Les fonds alternatifs r\u00e9cup\u00e8rent les pertes de la crise des "subprimes".<\/p>\n

Une question se pose: que peut faire l’OPEP? Ou mieux: l’OPEP a-t-elle encore une influence sur les cours du brut?<\/p>\n

                L’OPEP, avec 40% des productions mondiales de p\u00e9trole, est un cartel qui a th\u00e9oriquement un grand r\u00f4le \u00e0 jouer sur l’\u00e9tablissement des cours. La faiblesse de la croissance des productions des non-Opep, en raison des d\u00e9pl\u00e9tions de production en Mer du Nord et en l’Am\u00e9rique, lui conf\u00e8re encore plus d’influence.  Mais, paradoxalement l’OPEP ne cr\u00e9e plus l’\u00e9v\u00e8nement, elle le suit. <\/p>\n

               Tour \u00e0 tour, chacun de ses membres d\u00e9clare qu’il n’y a pas de p\u00e9nurie de brut dans le monde, ce qui est s\u00fbrement vrai. Mais, le March\u00e9 attend qu’elle d\u00e9cide d’augmenter ses productions, soit le mois prochain \u00e0 Ryad, soit d\u00e9but D\u00e9cembre au sommet d’Abu Dhabi. <\/p>\n

                  En r\u00e9alit\u00e9 la vraie vun\u00e9rabilit\u00e9 de l’OPEP r\u00e9side dans ses tr\u00e8s faibles r\u00e9serves de production. Deux millions de barils par jour pour l’Arabie Saoudite, un million \u00e0 terme pour l’Angola et c’est tout. Les autres membres assurent au mieux la p\u00e9r\u00e9nit\u00e9 de leurs production, sinon r\u00e9gressent. La stabilit\u00e9 des productions de l’Iran, de l’Irak, du Nigeria, du Venezuela est, pour le moins, incertaine.<\/p>\n

                  Un r\u00e9gulateur de march\u00e9 qui n’a plus ou qui a peu de r\u00e9serves, perd toute cr\u00e9diblit\u00e9. C’est le cas de l’OPEP au sein du march\u00e9 du p\u00e9trole. Alors les cours peuvent s’enflammer, le pompier n’a plus d’eau et en plus l’incendie lui rapporte.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                Les cours du P\u00e9trole, pour des raisons essentiellement am\u00e9ricaines, ont atteint des plus hauts. L’annonce d’un hiver pr\u00e9coce, en raison de "la Nina", les ennuis de la Pemex dans le Golfe du Mexique, la baisse attendue des taux de la FED, sont les \u00e9v\u00e8nements "locaux" qui animent les march\u00e9s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":6562,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3613","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nQue peut faire l'OPEP? - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Que peut faire l'OPEP? - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"                Les cours du P\u00e9trole, pour des raisons essentiellement am\u00e9ricaines, ont atteint des plus hauts. L’annonce d’un hiver pr\u00e9coce, en raison de "la Nina", les ennuis de la Pemex dans le Golfe du Mexique, la baisse attendue des taux de la FED, sont les \u00e9v\u00e8nements "locaux" qui animent les march\u00e9s […]\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/vallotton11.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Raymond Bonnaterre\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/\",\"name\":\"Que peut faire l'OPEP? - leblogenergie.com\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/vallotton11.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2007-10-30T08:46:30+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2012-07-12T10:07:04+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/vallotton11.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/vallotton11.jpg\",\"width\":\"150\",\"height\":\"111\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Que peut faire l’OPEP?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\",\"name\":\"leblogenergie\",\"description\":\"Just another The Social Media Group Network site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794\",\"name\":\"Raymond Bonnaterre\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Raymond Bonnaterre\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/author\/raymond-bonnaterre\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Que peut faire l'OPEP? - leblogenergie.com","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/30\/que-peut-faire-2\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"Que peut faire l'OPEP? - leblogenergie.com","twitter_description":"                Les cours du P\u00e9trole, pour des raisons essentiellement am\u00e9ricaines, ont atteint des plus hauts. 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