{"id":3642,"date":"2007-10-24T06:29:02","date_gmt":"2007-10-24T06:29:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T10:06:06","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T10:06:06","slug":"prix-de-base-th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/","title":{"rendered":"Prix de base th\u00e9orique du p\u00e9trole."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Absinthe10\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

Le prix du p\u00e9trole comprend une part sp\u00e9culative, ou de risque march\u00e9, qui s’ajoute \u00e0 un prix de base th\u00e9orique. Pour conna\u00eetre l’une de ces deux composantes, il faut conna\u00eetre l’autre. La part sp\u00e9culative est \u00e9minemment variable, fonction des humeurs de March\u00e9 et des \u00e9v\u00e8nements g\u00e9opolitiques. Il est donc pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable d’essayer de chiffrer le prix de base th\u00e9orique du baril de p\u00e9trole. Ce prix marginal peut \u00eatre d\u00e9duit des productions les plus ch\u00e8res<\/u> qui, si elles venaient \u00e0 manquer, entra\u00eeneraient une p\u00e9nurie sur le March\u00e9. <\/p>\n

Nous allons examiner le cas du March\u00e9 nord am\u00e9ricain.<\/p>\n

Sur ce March\u00e9,  on peut penser que ce prix est fix\u00e9 par le co\u00fbt complet du baril de p\u00e9trole extrait des sables bitumineux<\/u> de l’Alberta. Un groupe canadien sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans ces productions, EnCana, a publi\u00e9 en 2006, la structure de co\u00fbt de ce produit. Pour un baril de produit fini, obtenu avec du bitume dilu\u00e9 par un solvant et achemin\u00e9 \u00e0 la raffinerie, il se d\u00e9compose comme suit:<\/p>\n

Extraction du bitume ———-5$<\/p>\n

Diluant ————————–22$<\/p>\n

Transport \u00e0 la raffinerie ——-3$<\/p>\n

Raffinage ————————-4$<\/p>\n

Marge —————————-20$<\/p>\n

Soit un total de 54$ par baril en 2006. Une actualisation du prix du diluant, venant du p\u00e9trole, conduit \u00e0 un prix plancher actualis\u00e9 de l’ordre de 60$ par baril<\/u>.<\/p>\n

Avec un cours au plus haut en Octobre \u00e0 90$\/bl la prime de risque \u00e0 donc atteint 30$\/bl. Pour un prix moyen actualis\u00e9 \u00e0 75$\/bl la prime de risque est de 15$. On retrouve ainsi la plage de fluctuation<\/a> des cours de + ou – 15$ autour de la moyenne.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le prix du p\u00e9trole comprend une part sp\u00e9culative, ou de risque march\u00e9, qui s’ajoute \u00e0 un prix de base th\u00e9orique. Pour conna\u00eetre l’une de ces deux composantes, il faut conna\u00eetre l’autre. La part sp\u00e9culative est \u00e9minemment variable, fonction des humeurs de March\u00e9 et des \u00e9v\u00e8nements g\u00e9opolitiques. Il est donc pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable d’essayer de chiffrer le prix […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":6495,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3642","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energie-fossile"],"yoast_head":"\nPrix de base th\u00e9orique du p\u00e9trole. - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Prix de base th\u00e9orique du p\u00e9trole. - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Le prix du p\u00e9trole comprend une part sp\u00e9culative, ou de risque march\u00e9, qui s’ajoute \u00e0 un prix de base th\u00e9orique. Pour conna\u00eetre l’une de ces deux composantes, il faut conna\u00eetre l’autre. La part sp\u00e9culative est \u00e9minemment variable, fonction des humeurs de March\u00e9 et des \u00e9v\u00e8nements g\u00e9opolitiques. Il est donc pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable d’essayer de chiffrer le prix […]\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/absinthe10.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Raymond Bonnaterre\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/\",\"name\":\"Prix de base th\u00e9orique du p\u00e9trole. - leblogenergie.com\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/absinthe10.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2007-10-24T06:29:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2012-07-12T10:06:06+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/absinthe10.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/absinthe10.jpg\",\"width\":\"250\",\"height\":\"342\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Prix de base th\u00e9orique du p\u00e9trole.\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\",\"name\":\"leblogenergie\",\"description\":\"Just another The Social Media Group Network site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794\",\"name\":\"Raymond Bonnaterre\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Raymond Bonnaterre\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/author\/raymond-bonnaterre\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Prix de base th\u00e9orique du p\u00e9trole. - leblogenergie.com","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"Prix de base th\u00e9orique du p\u00e9trole. - leblogenergie.com","twitter_description":"Le prix du p\u00e9trole comprend une part sp\u00e9culative, ou de risque march\u00e9, qui s’ajoute \u00e0 un prix de base th\u00e9orique. Pour conna\u00eetre l’une de ces deux composantes, il faut conna\u00eetre l’autre. La part sp\u00e9culative est \u00e9minemment variable, fonction des humeurs de March\u00e9 et des \u00e9v\u00e8nements g\u00e9opolitiques. Il est donc pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable d’essayer de chiffrer le prix […]","twitter_image":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/absinthe10.jpg","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Raymond Bonnaterre","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/","url":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/","name":"Prix de base th\u00e9orique du p\u00e9trole. - leblogenergie.com","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/absinthe10.jpg","datePublished":"2007-10-24T06:29:02+00:00","dateModified":"2012-07-12T10:06:06+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/absinthe10.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/absinthe10.jpg","width":"250","height":"342"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/10\/24\/prix-de-base-th\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Accueil","item":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Prix de base th\u00e9orique du p\u00e9trole."}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website","url":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/","name":"leblogenergie","description":"Just another The Social Media Group Network site","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/debca67b8b93370360bdbd19ceb00794","name":"Raymond Bonnaterre","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4c04f9e9aab7489452c52f805e42fbd3?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Raymond Bonnaterre"},"url":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/author\/raymond-bonnaterre\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3642","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/341"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3642"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3642\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14565,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3642\/revisions\/14565"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6495"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3642"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3642"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3642"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}