{"id":4057,"date":"2007-06-01T20:51:54","date_gmt":"2007-06-01T20:51:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/06\/01\/ue-ils-sont-dse\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T08:12:02","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T08:12:02","slug":"ue-ils-sont-dse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/06\/01\/ue-ils-sont-dse\/","title":{"rendered":"UE : ils sont d\u00e9sesp\u00e9rants !!!!!!!!!!!!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
 <\/td>\n\n

Sc\u00e9nario de r\u00e9 f\u00e9rence<\/strong> <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Sc\u00e9nario de r\u00e9duction du carbone<\/span> <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Diff\u00e9rence<\/span> <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Demande mondiale d’\u00e9nergie (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

17.1 (+1.8 %  par an)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15.2<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-11%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Demande d’\u00e9nergie dans l’UE (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2.0 (+0.4 % par an)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.7<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-12 %<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

 <\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n

Energie fossile, total mondial (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

14.9<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12.4<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-17%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

– P\u00e9trole (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.9<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

5.4<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-8%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

– Charbon (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.7<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2.7<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-42%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

– Gaz (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.3<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.3<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Nucl\u00e9aire (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.9<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.2<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+36%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Energies renouvelables (Gtoe)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.4<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.8<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+35%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

 <\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n

Energies fossiles, total UE (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.66<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1.31<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-24%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

–  Oil (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.73<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.64<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-13%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

–  Coal (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.39<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.15<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-61%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

–  Gas (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.55<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.53<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-3%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Nucl\u00e9aire (Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.24<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.32<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+35%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Energies renouvelables(Gtep)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.12<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

0.19<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

+56%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

 <\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n

Emissions de CO2 dans le monde (GtCO2)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

44.5<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

35.3<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-21%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Emissions de CO2 dans l’UE (GtCO2)<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

4.7<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

3.5<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

-26%<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Gtep : gigatonne \u00e9quivalent p\u00e9trole (= 42.7 Gigajoules)<\/span>
GtCO2: gigatonne de CO2<\/span>
Source: Commission europ\u00e9enne, rapport de l’OMC<\/span> <\/p>\n

Ce tableau donne plus d’informations sur l’\u00e9tat mental de ceux qui l’ont fait, plus que sur la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique future de la plan\u00e9te. Il montre deux hypoth\u00e9ses : le march\u00e9, tout le march\u00e9, et un effort (petit) pour r\u00e9duire les consommations. Un d\u00e9but d’\u00e9conomie dirig\u00e9e. Les erreurs, inexactitudes, projections farfelues sont l\u00e9gions.
Tout d’abord le p\u00e9trole. 5.9 ou 5.4 millions de tep de p\u00e9trole, alors qu’on arrivera certainement pas \u00e0 d\u00e9passer le montant actuel<\/a> (3.8), c’est plut\u00f4t cocasse. Le gaz, lui a \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e9s surestim\u00e9. En effet, la d\u00e9pl\u00e9tion gazi\u00e8re constat\u00e9e aux USA, en Grande-Bretagne<\/a>, et dans d’autres pays, ont peu de d\u00e9calage avec le pic-oil. 10 ans pour le Royaume-uni, c’est tr\u00e9s peu. D’autre part, la production charbonni\u00e9re est en trompe l’oeil. Beaucoup de mines sont \u00e9troitements d\u00e9pendantes du p\u00e9trole. Si en 1960, on a vid\u00e9 les bassins houillers US, en disant aux mineurs : "le charbon, c’est fini", c’\u00e9tait le mode de production de l’\u00e9poque : celui du mineur. La production est pass\u00e9e de 381 millions de tonnes au milliard. Mais, c’est au prix d’une grande consommation d’\u00e9nergie fossile. Seule la production chinoise a gard\u00e9 ses mineurs<\/a>. De m\u00eame pour les mines d’uranium. Elles sont TRES d\u00e9pendante de l’\u00e9nergie p\u00e9troli\u00e8re. Alors, la moralit\u00e9 ? L’UE est Napol\u00e9on pendant la retraite de Russie, ou Hitler devant Stalingrad : ils continuent \u00e0 appeler divisions, corps d’arm\u00e9es et arm\u00e9es, des poign\u00e9es de soldats regroup\u00e9s autour de quelques officiers. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

  Sc\u00e9nario de r\u00e9 f\u00e9rence Sc\u00e9nario de r\u00e9duction du carbone Diff\u00e9rence Demande mondiale d’\u00e9nergie (Gtep) 17.1 (+1.8 %  par an) 15.2 -11% Demande d’\u00e9nergie dans l’UE (Gtep) 2.0 (+0.4 % par an) 1.7 -12 %         Energie fossile, total mondial (Gtep) 14.9 12.4 -17% – P\u00e9trole (Gtep) 5.9 5.4 -8% – Charbon […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[1773],"class_list":["post-4057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualites","tag-grande-bretagne-montant-actuel-mineurs"],"yoast_head":"\nUE : ils sont d\u00e9sesp\u00e9rants !!!!!!!!!!!! - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/06\/01\/ue-ils-sont-dse\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"UE : ils sont d\u00e9sesp\u00e9rants !!!!!!!!!!!! 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