{"id":4143,"date":"2007-05-05T15:39:59","date_gmt":"2007-05-05T15:39:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T09:55:38","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T09:55:38","slug":"la-thorie-doldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/","title":{"rendered":"La th\u00e9orie d’Olduva\u00ef"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Theorie_dolduva\"<\/a>Pour la th\u00e9orie dite "th\u00e9orie d’olduva\u00ef<\/a>", la civilisation industrielle vivra 100 ans environ (soit de 1930 \u00e0 2030). On peut la d\u00e9finir ainsi : e = Energie\/population.
On observe les \u00e9volutions suivantes :
– une croissance exponentielle de la production d’\u00e9nergie jusqu’en 1970 (la population s’accroit fortement, surtout dans la p\u00e9riode 1950-1970),
– plus de croissance de e depuis 1979, jusqu’\u00e0 2008 (l’accroissement de la population d\u00e9croche, la natalit\u00e9 freine brutalement dans la quasi totalit\u00e9 du monde),
– la d\u00e9croissance commence en fin de d\u00e9cennie 2000-2010,
– la population mondiale s’effondrera suivant la variable e.<\/p>\n

La th\u00e9orie d’Olduva\u00ef met le doigt sur les pannes d’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 de plus en plus fr\u00e9quentes<\/a>, conduisant \u00e0 l’effondrement de la civilisation, et un retour \u00e0 une population mondiale de 2 milliards d’habitants en 2050. On peut faire les remarques suivantes :
– les pannes \u00e9lectriques, et un non-red\u00e9marrage d\u00e9finitif des r\u00e9seaux semble aller \u00e0 l’encontre du d\u00e9veloppement des \u00e9nergies renouvelables (grande autoconsommation). Pour ce qui est de l’effondrement de la civilisation, c’est d\u00e9j\u00e0 fait dans un certain nombres de pays, qui se r\u00e9sument \u00e0 des guerres d’exterminations autour de ressources naturelles, l’AK 47 ayant remplac\u00e9 l’\u00e9p\u00e9e.
D’autres pays ont opt\u00e9s pour une politique forte de renouvelable. En cas de crise, notamment, le d\u00e9veloppement \u00e9olien risque vraiment d’\u00eatre anarchique, m\u00eame si c’est avec un mat\u00e9riel archa\u00efque, cela n’a rien de compliqu\u00e9. De m\u00eame, la retomb\u00e9e au niveau 1930, avec le niveau de renouvelabe actuel,  n’a rien du retour \u00e0 la pr\u00e9histoire.
Mais, il est clair aussi, que le d\u00e9couplage peut \u00eatre la r\u00eagle : la r\u00e9gression de certains \u00e0 des civilisations agricoles, le maintien d’autres \u00e0 des niveaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s. Ce qui est possible, si l’on part vite et bien dans l’\u00e9conomie du renouvelable. Mais il est clair aussi, que l’\u00e9nergie \u00e9lectrique renouvelable, va devenir de plus en plus importante.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pour la th\u00e9orie dite "th\u00e9orie d’olduva\u00ef", la civilisation industrielle vivra 100 ans environ (soit de 1930 \u00e0 2030). On peut la d\u00e9finir ainsi : e = Energie\/population.On observe les \u00e9volutions suivantes :– une croissance exponentielle de la production d’\u00e9nergie jusqu’en 1970 (la population s’accroit fortement, surtout dans la p\u00e9riode 1950-1970),– plus de croissance de e […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":5486,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1855],"class_list":["post-4143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energie-fossile","tag-pannes-delectricite-de-plus-en-plus-frequentes-theorie-dolduvai"],"yoast_head":"\nLa th\u00e9orie d'Olduva\u00ef - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"La th\u00e9orie d'Olduva\u00ef - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Pour la th\u00e9orie dite "th\u00e9orie d’olduva\u00ef", la civilisation industrielle vivra 100 ans environ (soit de 1930 \u00e0 2030). On peut la d\u00e9finir ainsi : e = Energie\/population.On observe les \u00e9volutions suivantes :– une croissance exponentielle de la production d’\u00e9nergie jusqu’en 1970 (la population s’accroit fortement, surtout dans la p\u00e9riode 1950-1970),– plus de croissance de e […]\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/theorie_dolduva.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"patrick reymond\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/\",\"name\":\"La th\u00e9orie d'Olduva\u00ef - leblogenergie.com\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/theorie_dolduva.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2007-05-05T15:39:59+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2012-07-12T09:55:38+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/348ae2a6d3fa221c5d38a293ee3dba3c\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/theorie_dolduva.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/theorie_dolduva.jpg\",\"width\":\"250\",\"height\":\"194\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"La th\u00e9orie d’Olduva\u00ef\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/\",\"name\":\"leblogenergie\",\"description\":\"Just another The Social Media Group Network site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/348ae2a6d3fa221c5d38a293ee3dba3c\",\"name\":\"patrick reymond\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"patrick reymond\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/author\/patrick-reymond\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"La th\u00e9orie d'Olduva\u00ef - leblogenergie.com","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/05\/05\/la-thorie-doldu\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"La th\u00e9orie d'Olduva\u00ef - leblogenergie.com","twitter_description":"Pour la th\u00e9orie dite "th\u00e9orie d’olduva\u00ef", la civilisation industrielle vivra 100 ans environ (soit de 1930 \u00e0 2030). 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