{"id":4255,"date":"2007-04-02T15:29:46","date_gmt":"2007-04-02T15:29:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/04\/02\/arabie-saoudite-4\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T09:53:40","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T09:53:40","slug":"arabie-saoudite-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/04\/02\/arabie-saoudite-4\/","title":{"rendered":"Arabie Saoudite : des pr\u00e9cisions"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Arabie_saoudite\"<\/a> Saudi Aramco lutte pour ralentir le d\u00e9clin de sa production. Sur les champs matures le d\u00e9clin atteint 8 % l’an. Seul de nouveaux forages et une palette de mesures techniques permet de r\u00e9duire ce d\u00e9clin. Seuls les exploitations offshore<\/a> laisse une (petite) marge de manoeuvre. Mais, en la mati\u00e8re, on n’est d\u00e9j\u00e0 plus dans le domaine des p\u00e9troles classiques.
Officiellement, la situation est la suivante en Arabie Saoudite :
– production depuis l’origine : 104 GB,
– r\u00e9serves officielles : 275 GB,
– MAIS, et surtout MAIS, ces r\u00e9serves sont encore, pour partie, \u00e0 d\u00e9couvrir (17 GB) et le montant de ce reste \u00e0 d\u00e9couvrir reste \u00e9tonnament modeste.<\/p>\n

En r\u00e9alit\u00e9, il faut partir du niveau officiel : 716 Gb, qu’il faut ramener au montant plus vraisemblable de 600GB, et prendre le taux de r\u00e9cup\u00e9ration (45 %) pour ce qu’il est : \u00e9tonnemment optimiste.
le pic-oil officiel Saoudien, pr\u00e9vu pour 2014, aura certainement donc lieu avant cette date. Partie int\u00e9grante de la classe dirigeante am\u00e9ricaine<\/a>, assimil\u00e9e \u00e0 elle d\u00e9s 1945, le r\u00e9gime saoudien va donc vivre des heures difficiles, f\u00e9odal, sans lien r\u00e9el avec la population, bouillonnante et d\u00e9sabus\u00e9e, le pic-oil pourrait se voir notablement avanc\u00e9 par des troubles politiques.
Le d\u00e9clin des ressources p\u00e9troli\u00e8res, souvent dans les r\u00e9gimes p\u00e9troliers les seules ressources, et d’exportations et budg\u00e9taires sera l’\u00e9l\u00e8ment d\u00e9terminant d’une explosion sociale pr\u00e9visible.<\/p>\n

En effet, s’il y a un lieu o\u00f9 Al-qaida et Ben Laden recrute facilement, c’est bien l’ Arabie Saoudite<\/a>. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Saudi Aramco lutte pour ralentir le d\u00e9clin de sa production. Sur les champs matures le d\u00e9clin atteint 8 % l’an. Seul de nouveaux forages et une palette de mesures techniques permet de r\u00e9duire ce d\u00e9clin. Seuls les exploitations offshore laisse une (petite) marge de manoeuvre. Mais, en la mati\u00e8re, on n’est d\u00e9j\u00e0 plus dans le […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":5260,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1962],"class_list":["post-4255","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energie-fossile","tag-classe-dirigeante-americaine-arabie-saoudite-exploitation-offshore"],"yoast_head":"\nArabie Saoudite : des pr\u00e9cisions - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/04\/02\/arabie-saoudite-4\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Arabie Saoudite : des pr\u00e9cisions - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Saudi Aramco lutte pour ralentir le d\u00e9clin de sa production. 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