{"id":4369,"date":"2007-02-26T14:22:03","date_gmt":"2007-02-26T14:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/26\/le-grand-jeu-to-3\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T09:50:58","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T09:50:58","slug":"le-grand-jeu-to-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/26\/le-grand-jeu-to-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Le grand jeu. Tovaritch : le Turkm\u00e9nistan"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Turkmenistan\"<\/a>Avec le turkm\u00e9nistan, on arrive \u00e0 un \u00e9tat absurde : riche de gaz, mais d’une population peu importante ( moins de 5 000 000 d’habitants), il est coinc\u00e9 entre 3 voisins, \u00e0 qui l’id\u00e9e pourrait prendre de lui faire subir le sort du melon.
"Le Turkmenistan a un taux de mortalit\u00e9 infantile proche de celui de l’Afghanistan qui a connu 25 ans de guerre. Un turkm\u00e8ne sur trois a connu la prison, 20 % des d\u00e9tenus meurent. Le niveau de corruption y est d’un des plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s de la plan\u00e8te. La peste et la tuberculose y sont r\u00e9apparues. Il y avait 40 000 \u00e9tudiants il y a dix ans, il en reste 3500 aujourd’hui. La plupart des enfants croient que les Turkm\u00e8nes ont invent\u00e9 la roue et l’\u00e9criture. Liste non exhaustive." Le livre saint est le runhama, que chacun doit connaitre par coeur, peut on ajouter.<\/p>\n

D’autant que le gaz turkm\u00e9ne pourrait constituer une tentation irr\u00e9sitible… 38.6 milliards de m\u00e9tres cube de gaz en 2006, des r\u00e9serves importantes en bordure de l’amou-daria<\/a>. Le gaz reste apr\u00e9s le d\u00e9part plus ou moins forc\u00e9 de 200 000 russes, le seul secteur \u00e9conomique qui fonctionne, et qui engendre une corruption maximale…Des politiques agressives vis \u00e0 vis des minorit\u00e9s (23 % de la population) notamment ouzbek. Il est clair que seule la ressource gazi\u00e9re permet \u00e0 ce r\u00e9gime de se maintenir… Dans un contexte marqu\u00e9 par une reprise en main de la r\u00e9gion par Moscou, et le repoussoir constitu\u00e9 par un Caucase<\/a> voisin, marqu\u00e9 par les massacres, les \u00e9purations ethniques, et le naufrage \u00e9conomique.
Non, pour les populations de ces contr\u00e9es, les ressources gazi\u00e9res et p\u00e9troli\u00e8res s’apparentent davantage \u00e0 l’or du diable qu’\u00e0 une ressource de d\u00e9veloppement. D’autant que l’exportation de ces ressources de gaz n\u00e9cessiteraient de consid\u00e9rables investissements, on peut toujours r\u00e9ver…La longueur des gazoducs n\u00e9cessaires rendent ces projets grandements fictifs. On peut penser aux probl\u00e8mes du pipeline az\u00e9ri-georgiens<\/a> (pourtant beaucoup moins long)…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Avec le turkm\u00e9nistan, on arrive \u00e0 un \u00e9tat absurde : riche de gaz, mais d’une population peu importante ( moins de 5 000 000 d’habitants), il est coinc\u00e9 entre 3 voisins, \u00e0 qui l’id\u00e9e pourrait prendre de lui faire subir le sort du melon."Le Turkmenistan a un taux de mortalit\u00e9 infantile proche de celui de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":5034,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[2068],"class_list":["post-4369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile","tag-caucase-pipeline-du-caucase-reserves-gazieres-de-lamou-daria"],"yoast_head":"\nLe grand jeu. 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