{"id":4370,"date":"2007-02-26T12:51:27","date_gmt":"2007-02-26T12:51:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/26\/le-grand-jeu-to-2\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T09:50:57","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T09:50:57","slug":"le-grand-jeu-to-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/26\/le-grand-jeu-to-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Le grand jeu. Tovaritch; le kazakhstan II"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Drapeau_kazakhstan\"<\/a> En r\u00e9alit\u00e9 ; le Kazakhstan, s’il a retrouv\u00e9 un certain moral est profond\u00e9ment inquiet, comme toute les r\u00e9publiques d’Asie centrale. La politique de perc\u00e9e dans la r\u00e9gion men\u00e9e \u00e0 Washington est empreint d’une irr\u00e9alit\u00e9 profonde, comme si les diplomates am\u00e9ricains ne voyaient que l’\u00e9tendue sur la carte.
60 millions d’habitants dans la r\u00e9gion, 16 au kasakhstan, c’est tr\u00e9s peu, m\u00eame si c’est dix fois plus qu’au si\u00e9cle dernier.<\/p>\n

Surtout que le nord du kasakhstan est clairement russe (\u00e0 une \u00e9poque, cette r\u00e9publique manqu\u00e2t \u00eatre supprim\u00e9e, la population kazak \u00e9tait tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 26 % du total).
En r\u00e9alit\u00e9, ce que regardent les populations, ce sont les voisins :
– chinois : 1500 millions (et les kazaks voient clairement ce qui arrive \u00e0 leurs fr\u00e9res du sin-kiang, et \u00e0 la population du Tibet),
– iraniens : 70 millions,
– russes : 150 millions, et quelques ogives nucl\u00e9aires en sus.
Non, finalement populations et \u00e9tats se contentent tr\u00e8s bien d’une situation comparable au 18\u00b0 si\u00e9cle : un protectorat russe, lointain, qui n’intervient que ponctuellement et souvent \u00e0 la demande locale.
Les populations ont \u00e9t\u00e9 longtemps russifi\u00e9s, alphab\u00e9tis\u00e9es et marqu\u00e9es au sceau russe. Elle y sont habitu\u00e9es, elles voient leurs faiblesses, et la force, l’agressivit\u00e9 de leurs voisins. Sans compter que pour une bonne partie de la population de l’ex-Urss, justement l’Urss, c’\u00e9tait le bon temps…Envol\u00e9s les mauvais souvenirs, ne reste que les bons.
Du reste les efforts am\u00e9ricains pour s’implanter dans la r\u00e9gion restent insuffisants : 1500 soldats ici, un \u00e9chec en Irak, un \u00e9chec en Afghanistan, ces soldats ressemblent plus \u00e0 d’\u00e9ventuels otages qu’\u00e0 une pointe arm\u00e9e. Du reste les satrapes locaux peuvent tr\u00e9s vite les trouver ind\u00e9sirables.
Comme on le voit, l’\u00e9nergie sur lequel on se focalise, existe tr\u00e8s peu dans les calculs locaux. C’est une vue purement externe…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

En r\u00e9alit\u00e9 ; le Kazakhstan, s’il a retrouv\u00e9 un certain moral est profond\u00e9ment inquiet, comme toute les r\u00e9publiques d’Asie centrale. La politique de perc\u00e9e dans la r\u00e9gion men\u00e9e \u00e0 Washington est empreint d’une irr\u00e9alit\u00e9 profonde, comme si les diplomates am\u00e9ricains ne voyaient que l’\u00e9tendue sur la carte. 60 millions d’habitants dans la r\u00e9gion, 16 au […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":5032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4370","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-energie-fossile"],"yoast_head":"\nLe grand jeu. Tovaritch; le kazakhstan II - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/26\/le-grand-jeu-to-2\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Le grand jeu. Tovaritch; le kazakhstan II - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"En r\u00e9alit\u00e9 ; le Kazakhstan, s’il a retrouv\u00e9 un certain moral est profond\u00e9ment inquiet, comme toute les r\u00e9publiques d’Asie centrale. La politique de perc\u00e9e dans la r\u00e9gion men\u00e9e \u00e0 Washington est empreint d’une irr\u00e9alit\u00e9 profonde, comme si les diplomates am\u00e9ricains ne voyaient que l’\u00e9tendue sur la carte. 60 millions d’habitants dans la r\u00e9gion, 16 au […]\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/drapeau_kazakhstan.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"patrick reymond\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/26\/le-grand-jeu-to-2\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/26\/le-grand-jeu-to-2\/\",\"name\":\"Le grand jeu. 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