{"id":4391,"date":"2007-02-17T16:58:15","date_gmt":"2007-02-17T16:58:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/17\/le-grand-jeu-to\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T09:50:25","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T09:50:25","slug":"le-grand-jeu-to","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/17\/le-grand-jeu-to\/","title":{"rendered":"Le Grand jeu. tovaritch !"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Le_grand_jeu\"<\/a>On a appel\u00e9 l’affrontement russo-britannique en asie au 19\u00b0 si\u00e9cle "le grand jeu", arm\u00e9es russes et surtout agents secrets des deux puissances s’affrontaient en iran, surtout en Afghanistan, mais aussi en Chine, \u00e0 partir de leurs "zones d’influences".
Aujourd’hui la donne \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique r\u00e9active ce "grand jeu" avec un contexte gazier et p\u00e9trolier \u00e9vident. Si Gazprom<\/a> la compagnie russe du gaz semble r\u00e9activer le vieux r\u00eave sovi\u00e9tique de d\u00e9solidariser l’Europe de l’Am\u00e9rique, des Etats-Unis gourmand d’\u00e9nergie se verraient bien mettre main basse sur le gaz et le p\u00e9trole des r\u00e9publiques d’Asie centrale, pour renouveler leur approvisionnements traditionnels : Le Mexique s’\u00e9puise, le V\u00e9n\u00e9zuela<\/a> est de plus en plus hostile,<\/p>\n

Le Canada s’il a des r\u00e9serves consid\u00e9rables de p\u00e9trole non conventionnel a des difficult\u00e9s pour d\u00e9velopper sa production. La diff\u00e9rence essentielle est d\u00e9sormais que la Chine est un acteur d\u00e9sormais actif, et sur lequel il faut compter. En r\u00e9alit\u00e9, le triangle sur lequel s’appuie les USA est simple et r\u00e9duit : l’Afghanistan et l’irak occup\u00e9, et l’arabie saoudite, int\u00e9gr\u00e9 d\u00e8s 1945 au lobby p\u00e9trolier am\u00e9ricain.
Le Japon et la Cor\u00e9e, o\u00f9 stationnent encore des troupes am\u00e9ricaines est plus un reliquat du pass\u00e9 ( o\u00f9 les \u00e9tats-majors aimeraient bien pouvoir puiser des effectifs) qu’une assise solide, le Japon<\/a> par exemple d\u00e9pend trop du p\u00e9trole iranien, et vu les tensions existantes sur le march\u00e9 p\u00e9trolier, n’a pas de solution de rechange. Ni le Pakistan, ni la Turquie ne sont des alli\u00e9s v\u00e9ritablement s\u00fbrs : la politique prokurde en Irak indispose fortement la Turquie, quand au Pakistan,  il a servi et sert toujours de base arriere aux talibans, avec en prime une forte impopularit\u00e9 et des am\u00e9ricains et de Musharraf…
Quand \u00e0 certaines bases, le commandement am\u00e9ricain se demande si se sont des pointes ou des bases trop expos\u00e9es ( en Asie centrale par exemple). Israel est pour les Usa un alli\u00e9 fid\u00e9le, mais encombrant. Les relations irano-etasuniennes, quand \u00e0 elle, defraient la chronique.
Ne cherchons ici aucune bonne conscience, aucune justification, il s’agit d’un affrontement de puissance (Chine, russie et usa) pur, simple et brut…A qui mettra la main sur les ressources.
L’Asie centrale s’av\u00e9re prometteuse en gaz et p\u00e9trole, de meme que la seule reserve qui ne semble pas d\u00e9cliner, c’est l’Irak (les \u00e9v\u00e9nements politiques depuis 1980 ont permis de ne pas les exploiter). Des gisements ont aussi \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9couverts en Chine.
Le "grand jeu" a chang\u00e9 d’objectif : au 19\u00b0 si\u00e9cle c’\u00e9tait l’acc\u00e9s aux mers chaudes. Aujourd’hui, c’est le gaz et le p\u00e9trole.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On a appel\u00e9 l’affrontement russo-britannique en asie au 19\u00b0 si\u00e9cle "le grand jeu", arm\u00e9es russes et surtout agents secrets des deux puissances s’affrontaient en iran, surtout en Afghanistan, mais aussi en Chine, \u00e0 partir de leurs "zones d’influences". Aujourd’hui la donne \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique r\u00e9active ce "grand jeu" avec un contexte gazier et p\u00e9trolier \u00e9vident. Si Gazprom […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":198,"featured_media":4990,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[2082],"class_list":["post-4391","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","tag-gazprom-grand-jeu"],"yoast_head":"\nLe Grand jeu. tovaritch ! - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2007\/02\/17\/le-grand-jeu-to\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Le Grand jeu. tovaritch ! - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"On a appel\u00e9 l’affrontement russo-britannique en asie au 19\u00b0 si\u00e9cle "le grand jeu", arm\u00e9es russes et surtout agents secrets des deux puissances s’affrontaient en iran, surtout en Afghanistan, mais aussi en Chine, \u00e0 partir de leurs "zones d’influences". Aujourd’hui la donne \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique r\u00e9active ce "grand jeu" avec un contexte gazier et p\u00e9trolier \u00e9vident. 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