{"id":803,"date":"2009-07-10T16:08:35","date_gmt":"2009-07-10T16:08:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2009\/07\/10\/lagence-internationale-de-lenergie-prevoit-une-reprise-des-consommations-de-petrole-en-2010-fautil-l\/"},"modified":"2012-07-12T11:44:13","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T11:44:13","slug":"lagence-internationale-de-lenergie-prevoit-une-reprise-des-consommations-de-petrole-en-2010-fautil-l","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2009\/07\/10\/lagence-internationale-de-lenergie-prevoit-une-reprise-des-consommations-de-petrole-en-2010-fautil-l\/","title":{"rendered":"L&rsquo;Agence Internationale de l&rsquo;Energie pr\u00e9voit une reprise des consommations de p\u00e9trole en 2010. Faut-il la croire?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160; Il y a belle lurette que les pr\u00e9visions de l&#039;Agence Internationale de l&#039;Energie ne font plus fr\u00e9mir les march\u00e9s. Tout au plus arrivent-elles \u00e0 faire sourire les professionnels tant elles peuvent appara\u00eetre parfois comme&#160;farfelues. Les pr\u00e9visions&#160;\u00e0 l&#039;\u00e9t\u00e9 2007 pour&#160;les consommations 2008&#160;(FIG., courbe bleue) avaient pr\u00e9vu un totalement&#160;inattendu 88,2 millions de barils\/jour qui finit au dessous de 86 millions. Celles de l&#039;\u00e9t\u00e9 2008 (courbe parme) avaient pr\u00e9vu une reprise pour 2009!! \u00e0 87,7 millions de barils\/jour, &#8230;.&#160;nous en sommes \u00e0 83,3 millions. Ces deux exemples illustrent la pr\u00e9cision \u00e0 18 mois des pr\u00e9visions de l&#039;Agence. Alors lorsqu&#039;elle pr\u00e9voit en ce mois de Juillet,&#160;&#160;<span>85,2 millions de barils\/jour de consommation moyenne de p\u00e9trole en 2010<\/span> (point rouge) il faut conserver ce sentiment d&#039;impr\u00e9visibilit\u00e9 des choses, sinon d&#039;incertitude, qui donne tant de piquant \u00e0 l&#039;aventure humaine. Alors pour \u00eatre moins p\u00e9dant que cette Agence, disons que la consommation moyenne de p\u00e9trole pour 2010 devrait se situer dans <span>un intervalle compris entre 83 et 85 millions de barils<\/span>. A un an et demi de l&#039;\u00e9ch\u00e9ance une telle pr\u00e9cision semble raisonnable, tellement les sc\u00e9narios peuvent varier.<\/p>\n<p>&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;Remarque: l&#039;Energy Information Administration am\u00e9ricaine pr\u00e9voit un accroissement de consommation de moins d&#039;un million de barils\/jour en 2010, \u00e0&#160;84,8 millions de barils\/jour, par rapport \u00e0 celle de 2009, pr\u00e9vue \u00e0 83,9 millions<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/6a00d83451b18369e2011571ebfd8a970b-pi.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"AIE-pr\u00e9visions-2009-07\" class=\"at-xid-6a00d83451b18369e2011571ebfd8a970b \" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/files\/2012\/07\/6a00d83451b18369e2011571ebfd8a970b-450wi.jpg\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160; Il y a belle lurette que les pr\u00e9visions de l&#039;Agence Internationale de l&#039;Energie ne font plus fr\u00e9mir les march\u00e9s. Tout au plus arrivent-elles \u00e0 faire sourire les professionnels tant elles peuvent appara\u00eetre parfois comme&#160;farfelues. Les pr\u00e9visions&#160;\u00e0 l&#039;\u00e9t\u00e9 2007 pour&#160;les consommations 2008&#160;(FIG., courbe bleue) avaient pr\u00e9vu un totalement&#160;inattendu 88,2 millions de barils\/jour qui finit au [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":341,"featured_media":20567,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-803","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>L&#039;Agence Internationale de l&#039;Energie pr\u00e9voit une reprise des consommations de p\u00e9trole en 2010. Faut-il la croire? - leblogenergie.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.thesocialmedia.com\/leblogenergie\/2009\/07\/10\/lagence-internationale-de-lenergie-prevoit-une-reprise-des-consommations-de-petrole-en-2010-fautil-l\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"L&#039;Agence Internationale de l&#039;Energie pr\u00e9voit une reprise des consommations de p\u00e9trole en 2010. Faut-il la croire? - leblogenergie.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160; Il y a belle lurette que les pr\u00e9visions de l&#039;Agence Internationale de l&#039;Energie ne font plus fr\u00e9mir les march\u00e9s. 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